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The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

80%

Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks

Will the UK hold a referendum vote on its relationship with the EU or a snap general election before 29 March 2019?

20 Forecasters • 21 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
94%
Yes, only a snap general election
5%
Yes, only a referendum on its relationship with the EU  d) Yes, both
1%
The Economist asks:

Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?

3%

Chance
185 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the monthly occupancy level of European hotels next reach 50.0% or higher before June 2021, according to Smith Travel Research?

3%

Chance
110 Forecasters • 442 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022?

80%

Chance
26 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Will the closing price of a barrel of Brent crude oil be higher on 3 June 2022 than it was on 8 March 2022?

15%

Chance
57 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 03, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Russia officially and publicly announce it has deployed or will deploy armed troops to Nagorno-Karabakh before 1 December 2020?

100%

Chance
11 Forecasters • 11 Forecasts
Started Nov 09, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Will Russia deliver an S-300 or S-400 missile system to Iran before 1 January 2016?

100%

Chance
437 Forecasters • 1425 Forecasts
Started Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC
Closed Nov 23, 2015 02:00PM UTC

Will President Biden declare an end to the global chip shortage before 31 November 2022?

5%

Chance
46 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Econja2018 asks:

Will net international migration between the U.S. and abroad for 2021 be higher than the net international migration for 2020?

100%

Chance
92 Forecasters • 225 Forecasts
Started Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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