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(Opinion) Do you approve or disapprove of the Iranian nuclear deal?

85%

Chance
560 Forecasters • 701 Forecasts
Started Feb 09, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 18, 2016 06:59AM UTC
&nbspThe Mack Institute asks

Will at least 400 employers participate as partners in the US Department of Energy’s Workplace Charging Challenge in 2016?

8%

Chance
159 Forecasters • 662 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2016 02:39AM UTC
Closed Dec 16, 2016 02:53PM UTC
Foxes Ask:

What will be the annual rate of housing starts for April 2021?

117 Forecasters • 651 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.0 million
0%
Between 1.0 million and 1.2 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.2 million but less than 1.4 million
0%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
15%
More than 1.6 million
85%
HFC asks

Will the PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a state actor in Iraq (IRQ) that starts between 1 October 2017 and 31 October 2017?

10%

Chance
102 Forecasters • 438 Forecasts
Started Sep 20, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2017 03:59AM UTC

How many people in the US will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 30 April 2021, according to the CDC?

98 Forecasters • 411 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 130,000,000
0%
Between 130,000,000 and 140,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 140,000,000 but fewer than 150,000,000
99%
Between 150,000,000 and 160,000,000, inclusive
1%
More than 160,000,000 but fewer than 170,000,000
0%
Between 170,000,000 and 180,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 180,000,000
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many R2X vehicles will Nuro produce in 2020?

116 Forecasters • 394 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
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Less than 100
99%
Between 100 and 500, inclusive
1%
More than 500
0%

Will China execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017?

3%

Chance
189 Forecasters • 386 Forecasts
Started Sep 19, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2017 07:59AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

What will be the 2020 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?

132 Forecasters • 353 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
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Less than $115 per kWh
0%
Between $115 and $130 per kWh, inclusive
1%
More than $130 but less than $145 per kWh
97%
Between $145 and $160 per kWh, inclusive
2%
More than $160 per kWh
0%

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?

71 Forecasters • 341 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 150,000
0%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
73%
Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive
27%
More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000
0%
Between 550,000 and 650,000, inclusive
0%
More than 650,000 but fewer than 750,000
0%
Between 750,000 and 850,000, inclusive
0%
More than 850,000
0%

Open: What questions are important for assessing the impact of the nuclear deal on Iran's future in the region and world?

60%

Chance
197 Forecasters • 319 Forecasts
Started Oct 09, 2015 09:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 27, 2016 04:40PM UTC
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