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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the percentage change in the producer price index for writing and printing papers for May 2022 as compared to May 2021?

2 Forecasters • 2 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.0%
6%
More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%
5%
Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 5.5%
50%
Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive
39%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?

2 Forecasters • 2 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 320,000 kt
0%
Between 320,000 kt and 340,000 kt, inclusive
50%
More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt
42%
360,000 kt or more
8%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher than $70.00 per barrel on 30 December 2021?

60%

Chance
52 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher on 16 July 2021 than it was on 16 June 2021?

65%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 79 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2021 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 16, 2021 07:01AM UTC

What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2021 relative to the 2020 holiday season?

37 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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The same or lower for 2021
0%
Higher by more than 0.0% but less than 2.5%
6%
Higher by between 2.5% and 5.0%, inclusive
17%
Higher by more than 5.0% but less than 7.5%
32%
Higher by 7.5% or more
45%

Will any four-week average of US field production of crude oil exceed 12 million b/d in 2021?

24%

Chance
43 Forecasters • 70 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?

54 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 08, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148)
26%
No Time to Die will gross more than Spectre but less than Skyfall ($88,364,714)
33%
No Time to Die will gross as much or more than Skyfall
41%

Will NFL quarterback Aaron Rodgers sign a player contract with an NFL team other than the Green Bay Packers before 9 September 2021?

6%

Chance
28 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 09, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?

13%

Chance
66 Forecasters • 121 Forecasts
Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the annualized rate of housing starts for October 2021?

63 Forecasters • 126 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.4 million
15%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
57%
More than 1.6 million but less than 1.8 million
26%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
2%
More than 2.0 million
0%
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