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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How much cash on hand will the following three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?

27 Forecasters • 48 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $100 million
9%
Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive
54%
More than $150 million but less than $200 million
33%
$200 million or more
4%
asks:

When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?

74 Forecasters • 114 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2022
3%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
24%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
35%
Not before 1 January 2023
38%

Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Chile?

51 Forecasters • 157 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Gabriel Boric
43%
Sebastián Sichel
42%
Another candidate
15%
There will not be a presidential election in Chile before 1 January 2022
0%

Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?

8%

Chance
62 Forecasters • 248 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

124 Forecasters • 756 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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The CDU but not the Green Party
10%
The Green Party but not the CDU
42%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
37%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
11%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

0%

Chance
210 Forecasters • 678 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?

0%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 195 Forecasts
Started Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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