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Jayce
asks:
Which team will win the Major League Baseball World Series in 2021?
41 Forecasters • 155 Forecasts
Started
Aug 13, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Chicago White Sox
6%
Houston Astros
16%
Los Angeles Dodgers
25%
Milwaukee Brewers
8%
Oakland Athletics
0%
San Diego Padres
0%
San Francisco Giants
11%
Tampa Bay Rays
14%
Another team
20%
No team will win the 2021 World Series
0%
What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?
66 Forecasters • 300 Forecasts
Started
Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 08, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148)
52%
No Time to Die will gross more than Spectre but less than Skyfall ($88,364,714)
41%
No Time to Die will gross as much or more than Skyfall
7%
Tim Harford
asks:
According to The Infinite Dial 2022, what percentage of the US population will have "listened to a podcast in the last month?"
114 Forecasters • 312 Forecasts
Started
May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 42%
0%
Between 42% and 44%, inclusive
27%
More than 44% but less than 48%
63%
48% or more
10%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?
85%
Chance
33 Forecasters • 127 Forecasts
Started
May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford
asks:
Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?
83%
Chance
153 Forecasters • 505 Forecasts
Started
May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Luckbox Magazine
asks:
Will SpaceX and/or Virgin Galactic complete a successful space tourist flight before 1 January 2022?
158 Forecasters • 584 Forecasts
Started
Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only SpaceX
100%
Yes, only Virgin Galactic
0%
Yes, both
0%
No
0%
Kinnaj
asks:
Before 1 January 2022, will a release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher?
10%
Chance
53 Forecasters • 188 Forecasts
Started
Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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