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On 1 March 2021, how many states will report a COVID-19 fatality rate of 5.0% or higher?

146 Forecasters • 456 Forecasts
Started Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Zero
99%
Between 1 and 5
1%
Between 6 and 10
0%
Between 11 and 15
0%
16 or more
0%

On 1 March 2021, how many states will report a COVID-19 positivity rate greater than 10.0%?

103 Forecasters • 388 Forecasts
Started Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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3 or fewer
27%
Between 4 and 7
22%
Between 8 and 11
16%
Between 12 and 15
14%
16 or more
21%
Foxes Ask:

Before 1 May 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics and/or Paralympics will be canceled?

30%

Chance
86 Forecasters • 99 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC

What will be the unemployment rate in Australia for August 2020?

204 Forecasters • 795 Forecasts
Started Mar 27, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 7.5%
1%
Between 7.5% and 9.0%, inclusive
97%
More than 9.0% but less than 10.5%
2%
Between 10.5% and 12.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 12.0%
0%

For how many countries and territories in the African Region will the World Health Organization (WHO) report a transmission classification of "Local transmission" in its Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) situation report for 25 June 2020?

126 Forecasters • 241 Forecasts
Started Mar 24, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 25, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 10
0%
Between 10 and 16, inclusive
0%
More than 16 but less than 24
0%
Between 24 and 30, inclusive
0%
More than 30
100%
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