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How many cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 will be reported for China as of 30 June 2022, according to Our World in Data?

51 Forecasters • 375 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 500,000
0%
Between 500,000 and 1.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.0 million but fewer than 1.5 million
99%
Between 1.5 million and 2.5 million, inclusive
1%
More than 2.5 million but fewer than 4.0 million
0%
Between 4.0 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0 million
0%
The Wharton Future of Work Conference asks:

What percentage of US job postings on LinkedIn will be for either "Hybrid" and/or "Remote" positions on 1 March 2023?

229 Forecasters • 265 Forecasts
Started Apr 06, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 10.0%
0%
Between 10.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
7%
Higher than 15.0% but lower than 20.0%
25%
Between 20.0% and 25.0%, inclusive
32%
Higher than 25.0%
36%
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

47 Forecasters • 260 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
0%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
24%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
76%
More than €140.000
0%

What will be the total value of assets under management by global sustainable funds at the end of 2021, according to Morningstar?

56 Forecasters • 116 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $2,250 billion
0%
Between $2,250 and $2,500 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $2,500 but less than $2,750 billion
0%
Between $2,750 and $3,000 billion, inclusive
22%
More than $3,000 billion but less than $3,250 billion
24%
$3,250 billion or more
54%
The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

80%

Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?

107 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive
12%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000
30%
Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive
42%
More than 70,000
16%
The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

187 Forecasters • 255 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 2030
4%
Between 2030 and 2039
34%
Between 2040 and 2049
35%
Not before 2050
27%
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

131 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
63%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
26%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
The Economist asks:

Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?

3%

Chance
185 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the percentage of adults in US households that are teleworking because of the coronavirus pandemic fall below 18.0%?

88 Forecasters • 279 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Before 6 July 2021
0%
Between 6 July 2021 and 16 August 2021
0%
Between 17 August 2021 and 27 September 2021
0%
Between 28 September 2021 and 8 November 2021
9%
Not before 9 November 2021
90%
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