Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Filters
Status
Voided
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
Forecasting Questions
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (34)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (29)
only
Inflation Challenge (45)
only
In the News 2022 (169)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (27)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (27)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (35)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (13)
only
The Good Question Chal... (2)
only
The Sky News Challenge (1)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(2)
only
Business (89)
only
Society (54)
only
US Politics (48)
only
Security and Conflict (45)
only
Technology (45)
only
Non-US Politics (40)
only
Economic Indicators (39)
only
Elections and Referenda (38)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (37)
only
Foreign Policy (36)
only
US Policy (34)
only
Finance (31)
only
Economic Policy (21)
only
Health (18)
only
Entertainment (10)
only
Environment (9)
only
Sports (9)
only
Open (1)
only
Show less
How many cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 will be reported for China as of 30 June 2022, according to Our World in Data?
51 Forecasters • 375 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 500,000
0%
Between 500,000 and 1.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.0 million but fewer than 1.5 million
99%
Between 1.5 million and 2.5 million, inclusive
1%
More than 2.5 million but fewer than 4.0 million
0%
Between 4.0 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0 million
0%
The
Wharton Future of Work Conference
asks:
What percentage of US job postings on LinkedIn will be for either "Hybrid" and/or "Remote" positions on 1 March 2023?
229 Forecasters • 265 Forecasts
Started
Apr 06, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 10.0%
0%
Between 10.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
7%
Higher than 15.0% but lower than 20.0%
25%
Between 20.0% and 25.0%, inclusive
32%
Higher than 25.0%
36%
Tim Harford
asks:
As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?
47 Forecasters • 260 Forecasts
Started
Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
0%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
24%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
76%
More than €140.000
0%
What will be the total value of assets under management by global sustainable funds at the end of 2021, according to Morningstar?
56 Forecasters • 116 Forecasts
Started
Sep 03, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $2,250 billion
0%
Between $2,250 and $2,500 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $2,500 but less than $2,750 billion
0%
Between $2,750 and $3,000 billion, inclusive
22%
More than $3,000 billion but less than $3,250 billion
24%
$3,250 billion or more
54%
The Economist
asks:
Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?
80%
Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started
Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?
107 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started
Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive
12%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000
30%
Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive
42%
More than 70,000
16%
The Economist
asks:
When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?
187 Forecasters • 255 Forecasts
Started
Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 2030
4%
Between 2030 and 2039
34%
Between 2040 and 2049
35%
Not before 2050
27%
The Economist
asks:
How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?
131 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started
Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
63%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
26%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
The Economist
asks:
Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?
3%
Chance
185 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started
Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will the percentage of adults in US households that are teleworking because of the coronavirus pandemic fall below 18.0%?
88 Forecasters • 279 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closed
Nov 09, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 6 July 2021
0%
Between 6 July 2021 and 16 August 2021
0%
Between 17 August 2021 and 27 September 2021
0%
Between 28 September 2021 and 8 November 2021
9%
Not before 9 November 2021
90%
1
2
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel