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The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

80%

Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?

107 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive
12%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000
30%
Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive
42%
More than 70,000
16%
The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

187 Forecasters • 255 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 2030
4%
Between 2030 and 2039
34%
Between 2040 and 2049
35%
Not before 2050
27%
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

131 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
63%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
26%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
The Economist asks:

Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?

3%

Chance
185 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the percentage of adults in US households that are teleworking because of the coronavirus pandemic fall below 18.0%?

88 Forecasters • 279 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Before 6 July 2021
0%
Between 6 July 2021 and 16 August 2021
0%
Between 17 August 2021 and 27 September 2021
0%
Between 28 September 2021 and 8 November 2021
9%
Not before 9 November 2021
90%

When will people in Guangdong no longer be required to show a negative COVID-19 test in order to leave the Chinese province?

37 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 12, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 11 July 2021
0%
Between 11 July 2021 and 11 August 2021
0%
Between 12 August 2021 and 11 September 2021
0%
Between 12 September 2021 and 11 October 2021
0%
Not before 12 October 2021
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the monthly occupancy level of European hotels next reach 50.0% or higher before June 2021, according to Smith Travel Research?

3%

Chance
110 Forecasters • 442 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2019, will Amazon announce where the Amazon HQ2 is to be located?

77 Forecasters • 159 Forecasts
Started Oct 26, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 13, 2018 06:00PM UTC
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