Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
Forecasting Questions
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (28)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (6)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (24)
only
Inflation Challenge (37)
only
In the News 2022 (184)
only
Noise: A GJ Open Forec... (5)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (24)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (26)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (36)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (23)
only
The Good Question Chal... (3)
only
The Sky News Challenge (3)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(2)
only
Business (86)
only
Society (52)
only
Non-US Politics (49)
only
Technology (48)
only
US Politics (47)
only
Security and Conflict (40)
only
Economic Indicators (38)
only
Foreign Policy (37)
only
US Policy (37)
only
Elections and Referenda (36)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (36)
only
Finance (28)
only
Health (24)
only
Economic Policy (19)
only
Entertainment (9)
only
Environment (9)
only
Sports (9)
only
Open (6)
only
Show less
Between April 2022 and June 2023, when will Japan's Consumer Price Index all items less fresh food (CPI ex FF) exceed 2.0% for three consecutive months?
18 Forecasters • 21 Forecasts
Started
May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before September 2022
69%
Between September 2022 and January 2023
30%
Between February 2023 and June 2023
1%
Not before July 2023
0%
David Epstein
asks:
How many total vehicles will be sold in the US in 2022?
40 Forecasters • 84 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 13.0 million
2%
Between 13.0 million and 13.6 million, inclusive
22%
More than 13.6 million but fewer than 14.2 million
33%
Between 14.2 million and 14.8 million, inclusive
28%
More than 14.8 million but fewer than 15.4 million
13%
Between 15.4 million and 16.0 million, inclusive
2%
More than 16.0 million
0%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 19 December 2022?
82 Forecasters • 172 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 19, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 3.000
0%
Between 3.000 and 3.400, inclusive
5%
More than 3.400 but less than 3.800
18%
Between 3.800 and 4.200, inclusive
31%
More than 4.200 but less than 4.600
31%
Between 4.600 and 5.000, inclusive
15%
More than 5.000
0%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2022?
60 Forecasters • 183 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.5%, inclusive
12%
Higher than 4.5% but lower than 6.0%
47%
Between 6.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
30%
Higher than 7.5% but lower than 9.0%
11%
9.0% or higher
0%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2022?
52 Forecasters • 141 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.5%
0%
Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 6.5%
35%
Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive
47%
Higher than 8.0% but lower than 9.5%
17%
9.5% or higher
1%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the annualized rate of US housing starts for October 2022?
36 Forecasters • 107 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 1.4 million
2%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
23%
More than 1.6 million but fewer than 1.8 million
53%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
22%
More than 2.0 million but fewer than 2.2 million
0%
2.2 million or more
0%
David Epstein
asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen in October 2022?
40 Forecasters • 114 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 58 million, inclusive
3%
More than 58 million but fewer than 66 million
57%
Between 66 million and 74 million, inclusive
40%
More than 74 million
0%
What will be the value of the FAO Cereals Price Index for February 2023?
29 Forecasters • 88 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 120.0
0%
Between 120.0 and 140.0, inclusive
0%
More than 140.0 but less than 160.0
7%
Between 160.0 and 180.0, inclusive
44%
More than 180.0 but less than 200.0
40%
Between 200.0 and 220.0, inclusive
8%
More than 220.0 but less than 240.0
1%
240.0 or more
0%
What will be the value of the FAO Meat Price Index for February 2023?
26 Forecasters • 84 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 105.0
0%
Between 105.0 and 114.0, inclusive
0%
More than 114.0 but less than 123.0
1%
Between 123.0 and 132.0, inclusive
21%
More than 132.0 but less than 141.0
34%
Between 141.0 and 150.0, inclusive
34%
More than 150.0 but less than 159.0
10%
159.0 or more
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
and
David Epstein
ask:
Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022?
20%
Chance
77 Forecasters • 221 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
1
2
3
4
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel