Status

Type

Sort By

How many business applications will be made in the US in 2022?

17 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 4.2 million
20%
Between 4.2 million and 4.8 million, inclusive
31%
More than 4.8 million but fewer than 5.4 million
31%
Between 5.4 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
16%
More than 6.0 million
2%

What will be the US office vacancy rate for the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Colliers?

26 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 12.5%
2%
Between 12.5% and 14.0%, inclusive
44%
Higher than 14.0% but lower than 15.5%
38%
Between 15.5% and 17.0%, inclusive
11%
Higher than 17.0%
5%
Tim Harford asks:

How many job openings in the trade, transportation, and utilities industries will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for November 2021?

33 Forecasters • 71 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 1.4 million
1%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
4%
More than 1.6 million but fewer than 1.8 million
9%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
23%
More than 2.0 million but fewer than 2.2 million
29%
2.2 million or more
34%
Tim Harford asks:

How many twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of cargo will the Port of Los Angeles report for November 2021?

34 Forecasters • 76 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 800,000
3%
Between 800,000 and 900,000, inclusive
33%
More than 900,000 but fewer than 1,000,000
48%
1,000,000 or more
16%

How many business applications will be made in the US in 2021?

28 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 4.8 million
1%
Between 4.8 million and 5.2 million, inclusive
8%
More than 5.2 million but fewer than 5.6 million
65%
Between 5.6 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
25%
More than 6.0 million
1%

What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 31 December 2021, according to Bloomberg?

109 Forecasters • 350 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 02:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $30.00
0%
Between $30.00 and $45.00, inclusive
0%
More than $45.00 but less than $60.00
12%
Between $60.00 and $75.00, inclusive
61%
More than $75.00 but less than $90.00
27%
More than $90.00
0%
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the annual change in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for November 2021?

45 Forecasters • 148 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.7%
0%
Between 1.7% and 2.2%, inclusive
0%
More than 2.2% but less than 2.9%
18%
Between 2.9% and 3.4%, inclusive
40%
More than 3.4% but less than 4.1%
38%
4.1% or more
4%

What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?

62 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 250.00000
0%
Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive
6%
Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000
53%
Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive
39%
Higher than 280.00000
2%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?

90%

Chance
50 Forecasters • 150 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance
62 Forecasters • 197 Forecasts
Started Jun 25, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel