Good Judgment® Open

asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?

10%

Chance

64 Forecasters • 99 Forecasts

Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

At close of business on 15 December 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 3 November 2021?

52 Forecasters • 99 Forecasts

Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Show All Possible Answers

Lower

Same

99%

Higher

Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?

1%

Chance

62 Forecasters • 134 Forecasts

Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?

38 Forecasters • 162 Forecasts

Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

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Fewer than 60,000

75%

Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive

19%

More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000

Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive

More than 240,000

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?

90%

Chance

49 Forecasters • 143 Forecasts

Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

2%

Chance

117 Forecasters • 222 Forecasts

Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

At close of business on 3 November 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 22 September 2021?

48 Forecasters • 95 Forecasts

Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Nov 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Show All Possible Answers

Lower

Same

100%

Higher

At close of business on 22 September 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 28 July 2021?

72 Forecasters • 210 Forecasts

Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Sep 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Show All Possible Answers

Lower

Same

100%

Higher

ericbays asks:

Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?

87%

Chance

86 Forecasters • 396 Forecasts

Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

1%

Chance

75 Forecasters • 174 Forecasts

Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

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Type

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Select All

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?

10%

At close of business on 15 December 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 3 November 2021?

Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?

1%

How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?

Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?

90%

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

2%

At close of business on 3 November 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 22 September 2021?

At close of business on 22 September 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 28 July 2021?

Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?

87%

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

1%

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Type

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10%

1%

90%

2%

87%

1%