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asks:
Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?
9%
Chance
66 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started
Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
At close of business on 15 December 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 3 November 2021?
53 Forecasters • 107 Forecasts
Started
Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
99%
Higher
1%
Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?
2%
Chance
63 Forecasters • 139 Forecasts
Started
Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?
39 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started
Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 60,000
77%
Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive
18%
More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000
5%
Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive
0%
More than 240,000
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?
90%
Chance
50 Forecasters • 149 Forecasts
Started
Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?
2%
Chance
119 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
At close of business on 3 November 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 22 September 2021?
49 Forecasters • 99 Forecasts
Started
Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
100%
Higher
0%
ericbays
asks:
Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?
88%
Chance
86 Forecasters • 416 Forecasts
Started
Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Columbus
asks:
Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?
1%
Chance
76 Forecasters • 177 Forecasts
Started
Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
What will be the Chinese renminbi's share as a global payments currency in December 2021, according to SWIFT?
84 Forecasters • 316 Forecasts
Started
Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.00%
7%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
75%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
18%
3.00% or more
0%
1
2
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