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What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?
7 Forecasters • 8 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
5%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
20%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
25%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
34%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
12%
More than 3.50%
4%
What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Japanese yen exchange rate on 16 December 2022?
18 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 100.00
0%
Between 100.00 and 110.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 110.00 but lower than 120.00
24%
Between 120.00 and 130.00, inclusive
31%
Higher than 130.00 but lower than 140.00
28%
Between 140.00 and 150.00, inclusive
15%
Higher than 150.00 but lower than 160.00
2%
160.00 or more
0%
At close of business on 2 November 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 21 September 2022?
32 Forecasters • 52 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
30%
Higher
70%
SE_Meyer
asks:
What will be the closing value of the ICE US Dollar Index on 16 September 2022?
29 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 16, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 95.00
1%
Between 95.00 and 100.00, inclusive
5%
More than 100.00 but less than 105.00
34%
Between 105.00 and 110.00, inclusive
48%
More than 110.00 but less than 115.00
12%
115.00 or more
0%
What will be the value of the US "M2" money supply as of 26 June 2023?
29 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started
Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 26, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $19,250.0 billion
0%
Between $19,250.0 billion and $20,000.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $20,000.0 billion but less than $20,750.0 billion
0%
Between $20,750.0 billion and $21,500.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $21,500.0 billion
100%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
At close of business on 31 December 2022, what will be the upper limit of the US federal funds target range?
50 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 1.75
0%
Between 1.75 and 2.25, inclusive
1%
Higher than 2.25 but lower than 3.25
78%
Between 3.25 and 3.75, inclusive
21%
Higher than 3.75
0%
Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 20 July 2022?
2%
Chance
42 Forecasters • 86 Forecasts
Started
May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein
asks:
Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?
2%
Chance
54 Forecasters • 163 Forecasts
Started
May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Between April 2022 and June 2023, when will Japan's Consumer Price Index all items less fresh food (CPI ex FF) exceed 2.0% for three consecutive months?
25 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started
May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before September 2022
99%
Between September 2022 and January 2023
2%
Between February 2023 and June 2023
0%
Not before July 2023
0%
At close of business on 21 September 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 27 July 2022?
55 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started
May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 21, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
2%
Higher
99%
1
2
3
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