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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How much cash on hand will the following three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?

24 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $100 million
4%
Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive
55%
More than $150 million but less than $200 million
32%
$200 million or more
9%
asks:

When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?

72 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2022
2%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
23%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
36%
Not before 1 January 2023
39%
024_andrew asks:

Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?

6%

Chance
69 Forecasters • 198 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Chile?

50 Forecasters • 153 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Gabriel Boric
43%
Sebastián Sichel
42%
Another candidate
15%
There will not be a presidential election in Chile before 1 January 2022
0%

Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?

8%

Chance
61 Forecasters • 243 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

115 Forecasters • 687 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
12%
The Green Party but not the CDU
37%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
39%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
12%
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

157 Forecasters • 530 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
15%
300 seats or more
85%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
0%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

0%

Chance
203 Forecasters • 665 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?

0%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 193 Forecasts
Started Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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