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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 20 May 2022 and 31 December 2022, will the 7-day rolling average of daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China reach or exceed 100,000?

3%

Chance
18 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the total monetary value of victim losses reported by the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) for 2022 reach or exceed $9.0 billion?

50%

Chance
10 Forecasters • 13 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 20 July 2022?

11%

Chance
18 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Between April 2022 and June 2023, when will Japan's Consumer Price Index all items less fresh food (CPI ex FF) exceed 2.0% for three consecutive months?

17 Forecasters • 20 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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Before September 2022
70%
Between September 2022 and January 2023
29%
Between February 2023 and June 2023
1%
Not before July 2023
0%

In Gallup's 2022 Confidence in Institutions survey, what percentage of respondents will say they have either a "Great deal" or "Quite a lot" of confidence in the US Supreme Court?

38 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 29%
7%
Between 29% and 33%, inclusive
35%
More than 33% but less than 39%
57%
Between 39% and 43%, inclusive
1%
More than 43%
0%

As of 8 November 2022, how many birds in commercial and backyard flocks will have confirmations of highly pathogenic avian flu (HPAI) in 2022, according to the USDA?

21 Forecasters • 80 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 40 million
1%
Between 40 million and 50 million, inclusive
52%
More than 50 million but fewer than 70 million
42%
Between 70 million and 100 million, inclusive
4%
More than 100 million but fewer than 150 million
1%
150 million or more
0%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 19 December 2022?

80 Forecasters • 160 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 19, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 3.000
0%
Between 3.000 and 3.400, inclusive
5%
More than 3.400 but less than 3.800
22%
Between 3.800 and 4.200, inclusive
33%
More than 4.200 but less than 4.600
27%
Between 4.600 and 5.000, inclusive
13%
More than 5.000
0%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2022?

59 Forecasters • 177 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.5%, inclusive
13%
Higher than 4.5% but lower than 6.0%
45%
Between 6.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
30%
Higher than 7.5% but lower than 9.0%
12%
9.0% or higher
0%
David Epstein asks:

As of 15 July 2022, how many refugees will have fled Ukraine since 24 February 2022, according to UNHCR?

85 Forecasters • 241 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 6.4 million
0%
Between 6.4 million and 7.6 million, inclusive
40%
More than 7.6 million but fewer than 8.8 million
49%
Between 8.8 million and 10.0 million
11%
More than 10.0 million but fewer than 11.2 million
0%
Between 11.2 million and 12.4 million, inclusive
0%
More than 12.4 million
0%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the annualized rate of US housing starts for October 2022?

36 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1.4 million
2%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
26%
More than 1.6 million but fewer than 1.8 million
50%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
22%
More than 2.0 million but fewer than 2.2 million
0%
2.2 million or more
0%
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