Free Resources

GJ Open Resources
Getting acquainted with the basics:
1. Introduction to Forecasting on GJ Open [Video]
2. Keeping Score on GJ Open [Interactive Video]
3. The Ordered Categorical Scoring Rule on GJ Open [PDF]
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Research Insights from Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers
1. Building Better Forecasters [Video]
2. Why an Open Mind is Key to Making Better Predictions [Video]
3. Superforecaster Full Video [Video]
Edge Master Class 2015:
A Short Course in Superforecasting with Philip Tetlock
Class I: What We Discover When We Start Scoring Accuracy
Class II: Prying Open Closed Minds in Unnecessarily Polarized Debates
Class III: Counterfactual History: The Elusive Control Groups in Policy Debates
Class IV: Skillful Backward and Forward Reasoning in Time
Class V: Condensing it All Into Four Big Problems and a Killer App Solution