HFC asks
Will the WHO confirm more than 10 cases of Marburg in 2017?
Started
Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 04:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 04:59AM UTC
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There have been confirmed cases of Marburg, a deadly virus similar to Ebola, for the first time since 2014 (World Health Organization, Time Magazine, CNN). Question will be resolved based on the latest WHO data available on 31 December 2017 (WHO).
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There were not more than 10 cases of Marburg confirmed in 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
There were not more than 10 cases of Marburg confirmed in 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 3.50% | |
No | 96.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 143 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 221 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |