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2024 US Election (Preseason) Challenge
Closing
Jan 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
(4 months)
As the 2024 US election season gears up, we are starting with a "preseason" challenge with pertinent forecasting questions. A broader challenge will come in the future as 5 November 2024 approaches. Make your forecasts!
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US Politics (16)
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Question
probahilliby
asks:
Between 22 September 2023 and 14 January 2024, will Donald Trump be found in contempt of court by a judge presiding over any US criminal proceedings for which he is a defendant?
Closing
Jan 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
31
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43
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 1 January 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
51
·
63
What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 15 December 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closing
Dec 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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55
·
143
How many Republican presidential candidates will participate in person for the second Republican primary debate in 2023?
Closing
Sep 27, 2023 07:01AM UTC
·
37
·
106
Before 15 January 2024, will a US court rule or state-level electoral authority announce that Donald Trump is ineligible to become president pursuant to Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Closing
Jan 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
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84
·
212
Before 4 November 2023, which candidate, excluding Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump, will next have 10.0% or more of 2024 Republican presidential nomination support, according to RealClearPolitics?
Closing
Nov 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
·
66
·
311
Kinnaj
asks:
Will Donald Trump cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Republican nomination for US president before 15 January 2024?
Closing
Jan 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
130
·
238
Will President Joe Biden cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Democratic nomination for US president before 3 February 2024?
Closing
Feb 03, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
112
·
220
How many of Ballotpedia's 13 "noteworthy" Republican candidates as of 20 July 2023 will have ceased to be presidential candidates as of 28 September 2023?
Closing
Sep 29, 2023 07:01AM UTC
·
47
·
180
MrLittleTexas
asks:
Before 28 January 2024, will West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin register with the FEC to run for US president in 2024?
Closing
Jan 28, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
55
·
115
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