The Monkey Cage asks

Who will be elected governor of Florida in the 2018 election?

Started Sep 14, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 06:00PM UTC

The Florida gubernatorial election will take place on 6 November 2018. Democratic nominee Andrew Gillum is running against Republican nominee Ron DeSantis (Real Clear Politics). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Ron DeSantis (R) 25%
Andrew Gillum (D) 75%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 126
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 254
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.611
2.
-0.572
3.
-0.562
4.
-0.52
5.
-0.505

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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