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Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 14 August 2021?
10%
Chance
71 Forecasters • 115 Forecasts
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 14, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?
9%
Chance
186 Forecasters • 231 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Before 14 August 2021, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would forgive $10,000 or more in principal on federal student loan debts for at least five million student loan borrowers?
40%
Chance
85 Forecasters • 149 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 14, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 15 July 2021, will Canadians Michael Kovrig and/or Michael Spavor leave China?
94 Forecasters • 180 Forecasts
Started
Dec 16, 2020 12:45AM UTC
Closing
Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Michael Kovrig
0%
Yes, only Michael Spavor
0%
Yes, both Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor
27%
No
73%
Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?
4%
Chance
134 Forecasters • 225 Forecasts
Started
Oct 30, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
In Fulton v. City of Philadelphia (City), will the Supreme Court rule that the City's requirement that Catholic Social Services (CSS) not discriminate against same-sex couples as a condition for working with the City's foster children is unconstitutional?
96%
Chance
64 Forecasters • 184 Forecasts
Started
Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
In California v. Texas, will the Supreme Court rule that reducing the penalty amount for the individual mandate of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) to zero rendered the individual mandate provision unconstitutional?
1%
Chance
73 Forecasters • 290 Forecasts
Started
Sep 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?
4%
Chance
128 Forecasters • 485 Forecasts
Started
Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The
Mack Institute
asks:
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?
71%
Chance
95 Forecasters • 201 Forecasts
Started
Jun 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
When will Donald Trump cease to be president of the United States?
2175 Forecasters • 6623 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 20, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before Inauguration Day 2021
1%
On Inauguration Day 2021
99%
After Inauguration Day 2021
0%
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