Sort By

Before 1 July 2018, will the US federal government ban the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of 'bump stocks'?

19%

Chance
Make Forecast
26 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Oct 20, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

In Gill v. Whitford, will the Supreme Court rule that any part of Wisconsin's redistricting plan is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?

70%

Chance
Make Forecast
442 Forecasters • 607 Forecasts
Started Sep 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Who will be elected governor of Virginia in November 2017?

Make Forecast
275 Forecasters • 479 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%
22%
Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less
55%
Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less
22%
Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin greater than 5%
1%
None of the above
0%

Who will win the special election for the Washington State Senate's 45th District?

Make Forecast
51 Forecasters • 139 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%
71%
Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less
26%
Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less
3%
Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin greater than 5%
0%
None of the above
0%

Between 12 May 2017 and 1 July 2018, will two or more states ratify the Equal Rights Amendment?

24%

Chance
Make Forecast
329 Forecasters • 742 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The CFA Society Los Angeles asks

Before 1 January 2018, will President Trump sign legislation that repeals the federal estate tax?

8%

Chance
Make Forecast
258 Forecasters • 714 Forecasts
Started May 09, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Before 1 January 2018, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

24%

Chance
Make Forecast
417 Forecasters • 966 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

As of 30 November 2017, how many states, including D.C., will offer expanded Medicaid coverage to people meeting the Affordable Care Act's poverty requirements for expanded coverage?

Make Forecast
283 Forecasters • 734 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 32
25%
32
41%
33
17%
34
8%
35 or more
8%