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The Economist asks:

Before 5 August 2020, will Mark Esper cease to be the U.S. Secretary of Defense?

75%

Chance
28 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Will there be 12 or more Chapter 9 municipal bankruptcy filings in 2020?

60%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 91 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59PM UTC

Before 18 July 2020, will President Trump announce that Nikki Haley will be his 2020 running mate?

2%

Chance
342 Forecasters • 680 Forecasts
Started Mar 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 17, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Which party will win control of the U.S. Congress in the 2020 elections?

412 Forecasters • 727 Forecasts
Started Mar 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democrats will control the House and Senate
40%
Democrats will control the House, Republicans the Senate
57%
Republicans will control the House, Democrats the Senate
0%
Republicans will control the House and Senate
3%

Who will win the 2020 Georgia Democratic primary?

276 Forecasters • 667 Forecasts
Started Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 09, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Joe Biden
100%
Michael Bloomberg
0%
Pete Buttigieg
0%
Amy Klobuchar
0%
Bernie Sanders
0%
Elizabeth Warren
0%
Someone else
0%

Will Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win New York's 14th Congressional District Democratic primary?

282 Forecasters • 471 Forecasts
Started Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 23, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and she will win a majority of votes
93%
Yes, and she will win a plurality of votes
7%
No
0%

Who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for U.S. president?

952 Forecasters • 2272 Forecasts
Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Joe Biden
100%
Michael Bloomberg
0%
Pete Buttigieg
0%
Amy Klobuchar
0%
Bernie Sanders
0%
Elizabeth Warren
0%
Someone Else
0%

Will the Democratic Party nominate their presidential candidate on the first ballot of the presidential roll call at the 2020 Democratic National Convention?

100%

Chance
319 Forecasters • 733 Forecasts
Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 14, 2020 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college?

75%

Chance
2005 Forecasters • 2603 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a United States Supreme Court seat be vacated?

1201 Forecasters • 1584 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
19%
Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
16%
No
65%