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Who will be elected governor of Virginia in November 2017?

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48 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%
17%
Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less
65%
Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less
17%
Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin greater than 5%
0%
None of the above
0%

Who will win the special election for the Washington State Senate's 45th District?

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21 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%
26%
Manka Dhingra (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less
58%
Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less
16%
Jinyoung Lee Englund (Republican) by a margin greater than 5%
0%
None of the above
0%

Between 12 May 2017 and 1 July 2018, will two or more states ratify the Equal Rights Amendment?

4%

Chance
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170 Forecasters • 429 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The CFA Society Los Angeles asks

Before 1 January 2018, will President Trump sign legislation that repeals the federal estate tax?

7%

Chance
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167 Forecasters • 450 Forecasts
Started May 09, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Before 1 January 2018, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

7%

Chance
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258 Forecasters • 600 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Will the U.S. federal debt ceiling be raised or suspended before 1 December 2017?

99%

Chance
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325 Forecasters • 667 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Dec 01, 2017 07:59PM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

How many removals will U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement conduct in fiscal year 2017?

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196 Forecasters • 617 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Sep 30, 2017 06:59PM UTC
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Less than 250,000
75%
Between 250,000 and 500,000, inclusive
25%
More than 500,000 but less than 1 million
0%
Between 1 million and 2 million, inclusive
0%
More than 2 million
0%
The Monkey Cage asks

As of 30 November 2017, how many states, including D.C., will offer expanded Medicaid coverage to people meeting the Affordable Care Act's poverty requirements for expanded coverage?

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147 Forecasters • 447 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC Closing Dec 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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Less than 32
28%
32
66%
33
6%
34
0%
35 or more
0%