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The Monkey Cage asks

On 3 January 2019, how many U.S. senators will be women?

59 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts
Started May 23, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 03, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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19 or fewer
0%
20
0%
21
1%
22
5%
23
24%
24
31%
25 or more
40%
The Monkey Cage asks

Between 9 May 2018 and 29 June 2018, how many Cabinet-level officials in the Trump Administration will cease to hold a cabinet-level position?

71 Forecasters • 185 Forecasts
Started May 09, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2018 06:59AM UTC
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0
90%
1
10%
2
0%
3
0%
4 or more
0%
The Monkey Cage and   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2019, will Robert Mueller cease to be Special Counsel?

25%

Chance
510 Forecasters • 861 Forecasts
Started Apr 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will win Ohio's 12th Congressional District special election?

74 Forecasters • 130 Forecasts
Started Apr 04, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 07, 2018 06:59PM UTC
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Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
31%
Other
0%
The Monkey Cage asks

Will Dean Heller (R-NV) be re-elected this November?

30%

Chance
78 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started Apr 04, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Will Claire McCaskill (D-MO) be re-elected this November?

65%

Chance
90 Forecasters • 158 Forecasts
Started Mar 14, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2019, will the US federal government ban the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of bump stocks?

15%

Chance
760 Forecasters • 1229 Forecasts
Started Mar 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will hold a majority in the US House of Representatives after the 2018 midterm elections?

312 Forecasters • 564 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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Democratic Party, with 230 or more representatives
11%
Democratic Party, with less than 230 representatives
51%
Republican Party, with less than 230 representatives
32%
Republican Party, with 230 or more representatives
6%
The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will hold a majority in the US Senate after the 2018 midterm elections?

243 Forecasters • 441 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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Democratic Party, with 53 senators or more
1%
Democratic Party, with less than 53 senators
33%
Republican party, with less than 53 senators
55%
Republican Party, with 53 senators or more
11%
The Monkey Cage asks

Will Joe Arpaio win the Republican Party nomination for the Arizona U.S. Senate seat currently held by Jeff Flake?

10%

Chance
341 Forecasters • 667 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 28, 2018 06:59AM UTC