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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will happen next regarding New York Governor Andrew Cuomo?

60 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Cuomo will announce that he will not seek reelection as governor in 2022
50%
Cuomo will either resign as governor or announce that he will resign as governor
5%
Cuomo will be removed from office by an impeachment trial
1%
None of these will occur before 1 April 2022
44%
Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

3%

Chance
152 Forecasters • 205 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Terry-Smith and 024_andrew ask:

Who will win the Democratic Party primary for the New York City mayoral election?

95 Forecasters • 204 Forecasts
Started Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Eric Adams
16%
Scott Stringer
6%
Maya Wiley
7%
Andrew Yang
70%
Someone else
1%
Ryan-Beck and Kinnaj ask:

Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?

10%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 94 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist and Adam Grant ask:

How many federal firearm background checks will be initiated in the US from April 2021 through June 2021?

241 Forecasters • 447 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 8,000,000
0%
Between 8,000,000 and 10,000,000, inclusive
9%
More than 10,000,000 but fewer than 12,000,000
48%
Between 12,000,000 and 14,000,000, inclusive
39%
More than 14,000,000
4%
CJH asks:

Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?

67 Forecasters • 181 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Newsom will be recalled
3%
Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled
97%
No
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP?

6%

Chance
90 Forecasters • 257 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?

60%

Chance
93 Forecasters • 316 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

How many vacancies will arise on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2021?

155 Forecasters • 318 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
65%
1
34%
2
1%
3 or more
0%
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