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What will Chinese ride-hailing company DiDi's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

18 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $25 billion
13%
Between $25 billion and $40 billion, inclusive
64%
More than $40 billion but less than $55 billion
22%
Between $55 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
1%
More than $70 billion
0%
DiDi will cease to be listed on a US stock exchange before 1 January 2022
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen fewer than 1.3 million travelers per day for three consecutive days?

24 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 October 2021
0%
Between 1 October 2021 and 30 November 2021
1%
Between 1 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
3%
Between 1 February 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Not before 1 April 2022
96%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

2%

Chance
34 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

What will be total OPEC crude oil production for October 2021?

24 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 25,500 tb/d
0%
Between 25,500 tb/d and 27,000 tb/d, inclusive
14%
More than 27,000 tb/d but fewer than 28,500 tb/d
71%
28,500 tb/d or more
15%

What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?

51 Forecasters • 87 Forecasts
Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 250.00000
2%
Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive
20%
Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000
53%
Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive
24%
Higher than 280.00000
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?

31 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 60,000
0%
Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive
0%
More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000
31%
Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive
50%
More than 240,000
19%
Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 August 2021, will legislation authorizing or enabling an extension or replacement of the CDC's nationwide eviction moratorium past 31 July 2021 become law?

1%

Chance
65 Forecasters • 120 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?

74%

Chance
36 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?

13%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started Jun 25, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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