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Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 October 2022?

23%

Chance
26 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 July 2022, will the CPTPP Commission decide to commence the accession process for the People's Republic of China (PRC) and/or Taiwan?

29 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, but only for the PRC
12%
Yes, but only for Taiwan
6%
Yes, for both
4%
No
78%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

55%

Chance
40 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Government of Ontario cease to require people to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination to use indoor areas of restaurants?

21 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 19 November 2021
0%
Between 19 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 11 February 2022
10%
Not before 12 February 2022
90%
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?

25 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 2,500.00
0%
Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive
8%
Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00
38%
Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive
36%
Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00
12%
Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive
6%
Higher than 10,000.00
0%
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

24 Forecasters • 44 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
26%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
48%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
22%
More than €140.000
4%

What will be Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization on 31 May 2022?

40 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $600 billion
1%
Between $600 billion and $850 billion, inclusive
33%
More than $850 billion but less than $1.10 trillion
53%
Between $1.10 trillion and $1.35 trillion, inclusive
12%
More than $1.35 trillion
1%

Before 1 October 2022, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?

2%

Chance
47 Forecasters • 56 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?

40 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 33,000.00
10%
Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive
15%
Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00
25%
Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive
26%
Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00
19%
37,000.00 or more
5%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2022, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?

28 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
1st to 3rd
7%
4th to 6th
65%
7th to 9th
28%
10th or lower
0%
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