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Tim Harford asks:

According to The Infinite Dial 2022, what percentage of the US population will have "listened to a podcast in the last month?"

46 Forecasters • 64 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 42%
8%
Between 42% and 44%, inclusive
38%
More than 44% but less than 48%
44%
48% or more
10%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?

100%

Chance
8 Forecasters • 11 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?

15%

Chance
53 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
ericbays asks:

Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?

9%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 57 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance
54 Forecasters • 65 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Adam Grant and Tim Harford ask:

What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for July 2021, according to OPEC?

95 Forecasters • 159 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 8,000 tb/d
0%
Between 8,000 tb/d and 8,500 tb/d, inclusive
5%
More than 8,500 tb/d but less than 9,000 tb/d
29%
Between 9,000 tb/d and 9,500 tb/d, inclusive
49%
More than 9,500 tb/d
17%
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

What will be the Chinese renminbi's share as a global payments currency in December 2021, according to SWIFT?

60 Forecasters • 124 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 2.00%
7%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
67%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
26%
3.00% or more
0%
Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

3%

Chance
190 Forecasters • 293 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will Berlin's Humboldt Forum open to the general public before 1 August 2021?

66%

Chance
65 Forecasters • 163 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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