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Will employees at Amazon's Bessemer, Alabama, warehouse vote in the affirmative to unionize in their next scheduled election?

10%

Chance
46 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started Jan 14, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 5.00% before 1 October 2022?

22%

Chance
127 Forecasters • 188 Forecasts
Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 December 2022, will the Women's Tennis Association (WTA) announce the lifting of its suspension of WTA tournaments in China and Hong Kong?

15%

Chance
63 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) will be registered in the UK in 2022, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)?

46 Forecasters • 94 Forecasts
Started Dec 13, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 150,000
0%
Between 150,000 and 200,000, inclusive
0%
More than 200,000 but fewer than 250,000
15%
Between 250,000 and 300,000, inclusive
33%
More than 300,000 but fewer than 350,000
40%
350,000 or more
12%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many total Model 3 and Model Y vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

55 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started Dec 13, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 700,000
0%
Between 700,000 and 1,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 1,000,000 but fewer than 1,300,000
22%
Between 1,300,000 and 1,600,000, inclusive
67%
More than 1,600,000 but fewer than 1,900,000
11%
1,900,000 or more
0%

What will be the closing value of the Turkish lira against the US dollar on 26 May 2022?

54 Forecasters • 216 Forecasts
Started Nov 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 8.00
0%
Between 8.00 and 10.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 10.00 but lower than 12.00
10%
Between 12.00 and 14.00, inclusive
33%
Higher than 14.00 but lower than 16.00
32%
16.00 or higher
25%

What will be the annual percentage change in the average hourly earnings of US private sector employees in October 2022?

78 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Nov 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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An increase of less than 2.0%
0%
An increase of between 2.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
6%
An increase of more than 3.0% but less than 4.0%
28%
An increase of between 4.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
43%
An increase of more than 5.0% but less than 6.0%
22%
An increase of 6.0% or more
1%

What will be the price of Bitcoin on 30 November 2022?

98 Forecasters • 222 Forecasts
Started Nov 23, 2021 01:50PM UTC
Closing Nov 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $30,000.00
17%
Between $30,000.00 and $50,000.00, inclusive
30%
More than $50,000.00 but less than $70,000.00
30%
Between $70,000.00 and $90,000.00, inclusive
17%
More than $90,000.00 but less than $110,000.00
5%
$110,000.00 or more
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 19 November 2021 and 31 December 2022, how many countries will sign their first Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) memorandum of understanding with the People's Republic of China (PRC)?

39 Forecasters • 98 Forecasts
Started Nov 19, 2021 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
0%
1 or 2
0%
3 or 4
0%
5 or 6
4%
7 or more
96%
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