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When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?

102 Forecasters • 162 Forecasts
Started Sep 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
9%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021
38%
Between 1 July 2021 and 30 September 2021
40%
Not before 1 October 2021
13%

What will be Airbnb's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

51 Forecasters • 135 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 04, 2020 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $15 billion
0%
Between $15 billion and $25 billion, inclusive
21%
More than $25 billion but less than $35 billion
47%
$35 billion or more
12%
Airbnb will not trade publicly before 4 December 2020
20%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

48 Forecasters • 115 Forecasts
Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 25,000
43%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive
41%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000
14%
Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive
2%
More than 250,000
0%

Which team will win the 2020 NBA Finals?

84 Forecasters • 546 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 15, 2020 07:01AM UTC
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Boston Celtics
11%
Denver Nuggets
2%
Houston Rockets
0%
Indiana Pacers
0%
Los Angeles Clippers
0%
Los Angeles Lakers
56%
Milwaukee Bucks
0%
Toronto Raptors
0%
Another team
31%
There will be no 2020 NBA Finals winner
0%

Will California voters approve Proposition 22 (App-Based Drivers as Contractors and Labor Policies Initiative)?

75%

Chance
55 Forecasters • 118 Forecasts
Started Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon or a subsidiary use a Zoox autonomous vehicle to deliver a package and/or for a public ride-hailing service?

45 Forecasters • 87 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, only to deliver a package but not for a public ride-hailing service
26%
Yes, only a for public ride-hailing service but not to deliver a package
0%
Yes, both to deliver a package and for a public ride-hailing service
1%
No
73%

At close of business on 31 December 2020, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?

165 Forecasters • 343 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2020 08:01AM UTC
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Yes, the most valuable in the world
75%
No, but the most valuable in the United States
24%
No
1%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will debut a passenger vehicle powered by a solid-state battery?

40 Forecasters • 91 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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0
43%
1 or 2
53%
3 or 4
4%
5 or 6
0%
7 or more
0%