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CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

21 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
15%
The Green Party but not the CDU
16%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
57%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
12%
Adam Grant and 024_andrew and ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021?

5%

Chance
106 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Terry-Smith and 024_andrew ask:

Who will win the Democratic Party primary for the New York City mayoral election?

87 Forecasters • 182 Forecasts
Started Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Eric Adams
17%
Scott Stringer
6%
Maya Wiley
9%
Andrew Yang
65%
Someone else
3%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2021?

95 Forecasters • 188 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 1.7%
1%
Between 1.7% and 2.1%, inclusive
13%
Higher than 2.1% but lower than 2.7%
42%
Between 2.7% and 3.1%, inclusive
32%
Higher than 3.1%
12%
Ryan-Beck and Kinnaj ask:

Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?

14%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 88 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?

66 Forecasters • 174 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Newsom will be recalled
3%
Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled
97%
No
0%
Maarten and Adam Grant ask:

Which will happen next regarding the price of a bitcoin?

425 Forecasters • 761 Forecasts
Started Feb 16, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Bitcoin will have a price of $25,000 or less
5%
Bitcoin will have a price of $100,000 or more
11%
Neither will occur before 1 July 2021
84%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?

60%

Chance
87 Forecasters • 303 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Econja2018 asks:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?

2%

Chance
161 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Luckbox Magazine asks:

Will SpaceX and/or Virgin Galactic complete a successful space tourist flight before 1 January 2022?

133 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only SpaceX
26%
Yes, only Virgin Galactic
0%
Yes, both
1%
No
73%
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