kyubi asks:
How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) win in the next Japanese House of Representatives election?
Started
Jan 23, 2026 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 08, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 08, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
After four months in her current position as prime minister and leader of the LDP, Sanae Takaichi called for the dissolution of the House of Representatives, and new elections are expected on 8 February 2026 (AP, Nippon). In the 2024 election, the LDP lost its majority with only 191 of the 465 seats in the House of Representatives (Edelman).
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This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.
| Possible Answer | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|
| Fewer than 149 | 2% |
| At least 149, but fewer than 163 | 1% |
| At least 163, but fewer than 177 | 2% |
| At least 177, but fewer than 191 | 2% |
| At least 191, but fewer than 205 | 3% |
| At least 205, but fewer than 219 | 4% |
| At least 219, but fewer than 233 | 18% |
| At least 233, but fewer than 247 | 18% |
| At least 247, but fewer than 261 | 20% |
| At least 261, but fewer than 275 | 17% |
| 275 or more | 14% |