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The Economist asks

Will Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador win the 2018 Mexican presidential election?

106 Forecasters • 214 Forecasts
Started May 16, 2018 06:30PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, with 50% or more of the vote
27%
Yes, with less than 50% of the vote
71%
No
1%
The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will win Ohio's 12th Congressional District special election?

74 Forecasters • 130 Forecasts
Started Apr 04, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 07, 2018 06:59PM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
31%
Other
0%
The Monkey Cage asks

Will Dean Heller (R-NV) be re-elected this November?

30%

Chance
78 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started Apr 04, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will hold a majority in the US House of Representatives after the 2018 midterm elections?

312 Forecasters • 564 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party, with 230 or more representatives
11%
Democratic Party, with less than 230 representatives
51%
Republican Party, with less than 230 representatives
32%
Republican Party, with 230 or more representatives
6%
The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will hold a majority in the US Senate after the 2018 midterm elections?

243 Forecasters • 441 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party, with 53 senators or more
1%
Democratic Party, with less than 53 senators
33%
Republican party, with less than 53 senators
55%
Republican Party, with 53 senators or more
11%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2019?

8%

Chance
3411 Forecasters • 4594 Forecasts
Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2019, will any other EU member state schedule a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

9%

Chance
2945 Forecasters • 3731 Forecasts
Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will the Democrats gain control of Congress in the 2018 midterm elections?

3940 Forecasters • 5981 Forecasts
Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
32%
Yes, both chambers
16%
Yes, the Senate, but not the House of Representatives
13%
Yes, the House of Representatives, but not the Senate
39%

Before 1 July 2018, will a date be set for a referendum on Northern Ireland's governance status?

1%

Chance
310 Forecasters • 1565 Forecasts
Started Mar 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC