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CJH asks:

Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?

43 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Newsom will be recalled
10%
Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled
81%
No
9%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will the Republic of Chad announce that legislative elections currently scheduled for 24 October 2021 will be postponed or canceled?

80%

Chance
52 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?

90%

Chance
137 Forecasters • 218 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

87 Forecasters • 144 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
2%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
38%
300 seats or more
58%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
2%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?

34 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats
6%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most
93%
No
1%
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

74 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
73%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
22%
Not before 18 September 2021
5%
The Economist asks:

Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?

63 Forecasters • 107 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador
10%
Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador
0%
No
90%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

85%

Chance
130 Forecasters • 245 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?

3%

Chance
37 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 April 2021, will an election be held for Israel's Knesset?

134 Forecasters • 310 Forecasts
Started Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Likud will win the most seats of any party
95%
Yes, and Likud will tie or not win the most seats of any party
5%
There will not be an election before 1 April 2021
0%
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