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Will President Trump's approval rating be lower on 5 August 2020 than it was on 1 July 2020, according to FiveThirtyEight?

75%

Chance
152 Forecasters • 195 Forecasts
Started Jul 07, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Which presidential candidate will win Michigan?

138 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
80%
The Republican Party candidate
20%
Someone else
0%

Which presidential candidate will win Wisconsin?

175 Forecasters • 233 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
75%
The Republican Party candidate
25%
Someone else
0%

Before 1 January 2021, who will be elected to be the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party?

52 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Armin Laschet
17%
Friedrich Merz
28%
Norbert Röttgen
5%
Someone else
34%
A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021
16%

Which presidential candidate will win Florida?

298 Forecasters • 403 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
60%
The Republican Party candidate
40%
Someone else
0%

Which presidential candidate will win Arizona?

229 Forecasters • 319 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
57%
The Republican Party candidate
43%
Someone else
0%

Which presidential candidate will win Ohio?

193 Forecasters • 302 Forecasts
Started May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
51%
The Republican Party candidate
49%
Someone else
0%

Which presidential candidate will win Pennsylvania?

205 Forecasters • 317 Forecasts
Started May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
73%
The Republican Party candidate
27%
Someone else
0%

Who will win the U.S. Senate election for Montana in 2020?

140 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The Democratic Party candidate
53%
The Republican Party candidate
47%
Someone else
0%

Who will win the U.S. Senate election for Michigan in 2020?

165 Forecasters • 265 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
80%
The Republican Party candidate
20%
Someone else
0%