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CJH
asks:
Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?
43 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started
Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Newsom will be recalled
10%
Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled
81%
No
9%
The Economist
asks:
Before 1 October 2021, will the Republic of Chad announce that legislative elections currently scheduled for 24 October 2021 will be postponed or canceled?
80%
Chance
52 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started
Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?
90%
Chance
137 Forecasters • 218 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?
87 Forecasters • 144 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
2%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
38%
300 seats or more
58%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
2%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?
34 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats
6%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most
93%
No
1%
The Economist
asks:
When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?
74 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
73%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
22%
Not before 18 September 2021
5%
The Economist
asks:
Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?
63 Forecasters • 107 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador
10%
Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador
0%
No
90%
The Economist
asks:
Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?
85%
Chance
130 Forecasters • 245 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?
3%
Chance
37 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started
Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing
Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Before 1 April 2021, will an election be held for Israel's Knesset?
134 Forecasters • 310 Forecasts
Started
Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Likud will win the most seats of any party
95%
Yes, and Likud will tie or not win the most seats of any party
5%
There will not be an election before 1 April 2021
0%
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