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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many total cases of COVID-19 will the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) report for Canada as of 31 December 2020?

57 Forecasters • 189 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2020 10:37AM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2020 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 256,985
0%
Between 256,985 and 342,646 cases, inclusive
40%
More than 342,646 but fewer than 428,308 cases
55%
428,308 or more cases
5%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 March 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation at sea between the forces of India and the People's Republic of China?

2%

Chance
135 Forecasters • 196 Forecasts
Started Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the UN Security Council or UN General Assembly vote on a resolution concerning outer space before 1 May 2021?

69 Forecasters • 161 Forecasts
Started Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and China will vote for it
78%
Yes, and China will abstain or be absent from voting
6%
Yes, and China will vote against it
5%
No
11%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 December 2020, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?

213 Forecasters • 396 Forecasts
Started Sep 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
5%
Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
0%
No
95%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 15 September 2020 and 30 November 2020, will a country cease to formally recognize Taiwan?

1%

Chance
141 Forecasters • 328 Forecasts
Started Sep 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will any 2020 California election results be altered by a cyberattack against a voting system?

2%

Chance
108 Forecasters • 158 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?

25%

Chance
100 Forecasters • 186 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC