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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 20 May 2022 and 31 December 2022, will the 7-day rolling average of daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China reach or exceed 100,000?

20%

Chance
25 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the total monetary value of victim losses reported by the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) for 2022 reach or exceed $9.0 billion?

80%

Chance
19 Forecasters • 24 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Australia and Papua New Guinea (PNG) sign a bilateral defense treaty before 6 May 2023?

75%

Chance
27 Forecasters • 48 Forecasts
Started May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 2 May 2022 and 27 May 2022, will the 7-day moving average of new daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reach or exceed 120,000?

40%

Chance
61 Forecasters • 223 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing May 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Top Gun: Maverick reach or exceed $45 million, according to Box Office Mojo?

85%

Chance
59 Forecasters • 95 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing May 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the lowest daily reported arctic sea ice extent in 2022 as of 11 October 2022?

36 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 11, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 3.5 million sq. km
0%
Between 3.5 million sq. km and 4.0 million sq. km, inclusive
1%
More than 4.0 million sq. km but less than 4.5 million sq. km
21%
Between 4.5 million sq. km and 5.0 million sq. km, inclusive
60%
More than 5.0 million sq. km
18%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and David Epstein ask:

Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022?

20%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 221 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the oil and gas rig count for the Permian Basin in the first week of October 2022, according to Baker Hughes?

30 Forecasters • 112 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 275
0%
Between 275 and 325
0%
Between 326 and 375
50%
Between 376 and 425
48%
Between 426 and 475
2%
More than 475
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the percentage increase in the producer price index (PPI) for "Self-Service Storage and Miniwarehouses" for December 2022 as compared to December 2021?

32 Forecasters • 73 Forecasts
Started Mar 30, 2022 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
7%
More than 8.0% but less than 12.0%
45%
Between 12.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
36%
More than 15.0%
12%
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