Status

Type

Sort By

Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

0%

Chance
286 Forecasters • 882 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC

What forecasting questions should we ask? What questions would you like to forecast on GJOpen?

Discuss
93 Commenters • 747 Comments
Started Jul 05, 2020 10:33PM UTC
Closing Jan 31, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 1 February 2021?

115 Forecasters • 473 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 3,000,000
0%
Between 3,000,000 and 3,500,000, inclusive
0%
More than 3,500,000 but fewer than 4,000,000
88%
Between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000, inclusive
12%
More than 4,500,000
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the Americas Region as of 1 February 2021?

102 Forecasters • 361 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 42,000,000
0%
Between 42,000,000 and 44,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 44,000,000 but fewer than 46,000,000
20%
Between 46,000,000 and 48,000,000, inclusive
78%
More than 48,000,000
2%

Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021?

97%

Chance
82 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 06, 2021 08:01AM UTC
SE_Meyer asks:

Between 13 November 2020 and 12 February 2021, will the closing price per barrel of WTI crude oil be higher than the closing price per barrel of Brent crude oil?

0%

Chance
103 Forecasters • 235 Forecasts
Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 12, 2021 08:01PM UTC

Before 14 February 2021, will former King Juan Carlos I and/or former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?

98 Forecasters • 225 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 14, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Juan Carlos I
0%
Yes, only Carles Puigdemont
0%
Yes, both
0%
No
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the closing price of Mercado Libre stock on 15 February 2021?

39 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $1,600.00
1%
Between $1,600.00 and $1,800.00, inclusive
38%
More than $1,800.00 but less than $2,000.00
50%
Between $2,000.00 and $2,200.00, inclusive
11%
More than $2,200.00
0%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel