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Which film will win the 2019 Academy Award for Directing?

23 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 24, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
BlacKkKlansman (Spike Lee)
15%
Cold War (Pawel Pawlikowski)
8%
The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos)
6%
Roma (Alfonso Cuarón)
65%
Vice (Adam McKay)
6%

Before 1 March 2019, will the U.S. impose Global Magnitsky Sanctions on any member of Saudi Arabia's Council of Ministers for the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi? 

2%

Chance
147 Forecasters • 303 Forecasts
Started Oct 26, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Which film will win the 2019 Academy Award for Best Picture?

40 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Black Panther
5%
BlacKkKlansman
5%
Bohemian Rhapsody
5%
The Favourite
12%
Green Book
9%
Roma
51%
A Star Is Born
9%
Vice
4%

Who will win the 2019 Academy Award for Actor in a Leading Role?

28 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Christian Bale (Vice)
20%
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)
4%
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate)
2%
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
71%
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
3%

Who will win the 2019 Academy Award for Actress in a Leading Role?

23 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yalitza Aparicio (Roma)
12%
Glenn Close (The Wife)
53%
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
21%
Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)
8%
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
6%
The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will the UK hold a referendum vote on its relationship with the EU or a snap general election before 29 March 2019?

1300 Forecasters • 1797 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
71%
Yes, only a snap general election
13%
Yes, only a referendum on its relationship with the EU
12%
Yes, both
4%
Nesta asks

Before 30 March 2019, what will happen next with regard to the UK's notification of Article 50?

541 Forecasters • 839 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 08:00AM UTC
Closing Mar 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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It will be revoked by the UK
8%
It will be extended by the UK and the European Council
62%
Neither of the above will occur and the UK will leave the EU
30%

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?

10%

Chance
72 Forecasters • 122 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?

10%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 86 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC