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Adam Grant asks:

Which country will win the 2020 Olympic gold medal in women's football (soccer)?

109 Forecasters • 268 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Great Britain
0%
Japan
0%
The Netherlands
0%
United States
53%
Another country
47%
No gold medal will be awarded for this event
0%
Adam Grant asks:

Will Great Britain win more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics than the People's Republic of China?

0%

Chance
148 Forecasters • 263 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 08, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

When will COVID-19 cases caused by the Delta variant (B.1.617.2) exceed 350,000 in the UK?

138 Forecasters • 513 Forecasts
Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 12, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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On or before 14 July 2021
0%
Between 15 July and 28 July 2021
0%
Between 29 July and 11 August 2021
99%
Not before 12 August 2021
1%
Adam Grant asks:

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 13 August 2021, according to FiveThirtyEight?

195 Forecasters • 647 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 13, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 45.0%
0%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
10%
Higher than 50.0% but lower than 55.0%
90%
55.0% or higher
0%

Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 14 August 2021?

0%

Chance
102 Forecasters • 399 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 14, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations?

3%

Chance
492 Forecasters • 1215 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

0%

Chance
245 Forecasters • 520 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many Arab League member states other than Palestine will diplomatically recognize the State of Israel as of 28 August 2021?

122 Forecasters • 586 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 28, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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2 or fewer
0%
3
0%
4
0%
5
0%
6 or more
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?

2%

Chance
198 Forecasters • 1053 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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