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Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 21 January 2021, will the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) enter into a consent order that would allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to exit conservatorship?
0%
Chance
48 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started
Dec 09, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 21, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:
Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?
0%
Chance
286 Forecasters • 882 Forecasts
Started
Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
At close of business on 27 January 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 16 December 2020?
112 Forecasters • 188 Forecasts
Started
Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 27, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
100%
Higher
0%
What forecasting questions should we ask? What questions would you like to forecast on GJOpen?
Discuss
93 Commenters • 747 Comments
Started
Jul 05, 2020 10:33PM UTC
Closing
Jan 31, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 1 February 2021?
115 Forecasters • 473 Forecasts
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 3,000,000
0%
Between 3,000,000 and 3,500,000, inclusive
0%
More than 3,500,000 but fewer than 4,000,000
88%
Between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000, inclusive
12%
More than 4,500,000
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the Americas Region as of 1 February 2021?
102 Forecasters • 361 Forecasts
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 42,000,000
0%
Between 42,000,000 and 44,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 44,000,000 but fewer than 46,000,000
20%
Between 46,000,000 and 48,000,000, inclusive
78%
More than 48,000,000
2%
Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021?
97%
Chance
82 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 06, 2021 08:01AM UTC
SE_Meyer
asks:
Between 13 November 2020 and 12 February 2021, will the closing price per barrel of WTI crude oil be higher than the closing price per barrel of Brent crude oil?
0%
Chance
103 Forecasters • 235 Forecasts
Started
Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 12, 2021 08:01PM UTC
Before 14 February 2021, will former King Juan Carlos I and/or former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?
98 Forecasters • 225 Forecasts
Started
Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 14, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Juan Carlos I
0%
Yes, only Carles Puigdemont
0%
Yes, both
0%
No
100%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the closing price of Mercado Libre stock on 15 February 2021?
39 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $1,600.00
1%
Between $1,600.00 and $1,800.00, inclusive
38%
More than $1,800.00 but less than $2,000.00
50%
Between $2,000.00 and $2,200.00, inclusive
11%
More than $2,200.00
0%
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