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Before 15 December 2018, will the House of Commons approve the Withdrawal Agreement of the United Kingdom from the European Union?

0%

Chance
78 Forecasters • 122 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 14, 2018 07:59AM UTC

What will be the closing spot price for an ounce of gold against the US dollar on 28 December 2018?

218 Forecasters • 422 Forecasts
Started Nov 16, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 28, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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Less than $1,150
0%
Between $1,150 and $1,200, inclusive
11%
More than $1,200 but less than $1,250
54%
Between $1,250 and $1,300, inclusive
33%
More than $1,300
2%

What will Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization be on 28 December 2018?

243 Forecasters • 955 Forecasts
Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 29, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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Less than $360 billion
5%
Between $360 billion and $430 billion, inclusive
75%
More than $430 billion but less than $500 billion
21%
Between $500 billion and $570 billion, inclusive
0%
Greater than $570 billion
0%
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?

10%

Chance
25 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started Sep 28, 2018 11:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

How many land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) will North Korea launch between 14 July 2017 and 31 December 2018?

733 Forecasters • 2534 Forecasts
Started Jul 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
0%
1
0%
2-3
99%
4-5
1%
6 or more
0%

Will the World Health Organization or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention declare an influenza pandemic before 2019?

1%

Chance
468 Forecasters • 1373 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?

0%

Chance
18 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Sep 28, 2018 11:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?

14%

Chance
23 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started Sep 28, 2018 11:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?

11%

Chance
18 Forecasters • 44 Forecasts
Started Sep 28, 2018 11:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC