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What will be the closing value for the Dow Jones Transportation Average on 30 August 2019?

96 Forecasters • 441 Forecasts
Started Apr 19, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 10,000.00
39%
Between 10,000.00 and 11,000.00, inclusive
53%
More than 11,000.00 but less than 12,000.00
4%
12,000.00 or more
4%

What will be the closing yield for 10-year U.S. Treasuries on 31 August 2019?

151 Forecasters • 468 Forecasts
Started Jun 21, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 1.70
77%
Between 1.70 and 1.90, inclusive
20%
More than 1.90 but less than 2.10
1%
Between 2.10 and 2.30, inclusive
1%
More than 2.30
1%

Between 9 August 2019 and 8 September 2019, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?

5%

Chance
123 Forecasters • 170 Forecasts
Started Aug 09, 2019 11:10PM UTC
Closing Sep 09, 2019 07:00AM UTC

Before 12 September 2019, how many candidates who participated at the second Democratic presidential primary debates on 30-31 July will cease to be candidates?

122 Forecasters • 259 Forecasts
Started Aug 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 12, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Zero
3%
One or two
23%
Three or four
52%
Five or more
22%

Will a member of the Likud Party be the first person invited to form a government after the next Israeli general election?

63 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts
Started Jul 19, 2019 05:15PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Yes, Benjamin Netanyahu
46%
Yes, someone other than Benjamin Netanyahu
22%
No
32%
The Economist asks

On 25 September 2019, what will be Venezuela's annual inflation rate according to Bloomberg's Cafe Con Leche Index?

99 Forecasters • 217 Forecasts
Started May 24, 2019 04:45PM UTC
Closing Sep 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 50,000%
73%
Between 50,000% and 100,000%, inclusive
20%
Between 100,000% and 200,000%
3%
Between 200,000% and 500,000%, inclusive
2%
More than 500,000%
2%

What percentage of the vote will the Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) win in the next Austrian parliamentary elections?

88 Forecasters • 161 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2019 06:30PM UTC
Closing Sep 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 32.00%
8%
Between 32.00% and 36.00%, inclusive
46%
More than 36.00% but less than 40.00%
37%
Between 40.00% and 44.00%, inclusive
7%
More than 44.00%
2%

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?

10%

Chance
31 Forecasters • 53 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?

4%

Chance
44 Forecasters • 81 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?

1%

Chance
31 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC