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What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?

67 Forecasters • 288 Forecasts
Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 250.00000
0%
Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive
0%
Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000
44%
Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive
52%
Higher than 280.00000
4%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 5 February 2021 and 31 October 2021, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?

0%

Chance
129 Forecasters • 443 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the annualized rate of housing starts for October 2021?

102 Forecasters • 357 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.4 million
2%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
53%
More than 1.6 million but less than 1.8 million
44%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
1%
More than 2.0 million
0%

What will be total OPEC crude oil production for October 2021?

66 Forecasters • 175 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 25,500 tb/d
0%
Between 25,500 tb/d and 27,000 tb/d, inclusive
10%
More than 27,000 tb/d but fewer than 28,500 tb/d
82%
28,500 tb/d or more
8%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?

16%

Chance
43 Forecasters • 186 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Who will be elected governor of Virginia in 2021?

70 Forecasters • 129 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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The Democratic Party candidate
61%
The Republican Party candidate
40%
Someone else
0%
Jayce asks:

Which team will win the Major League Baseball World Series in 2021?

92 Forecasters • 399 Forecasts
Started Aug 13, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Chicago White Sox
0%
Houston Astros
28%
Los Angeles Dodgers
27%
Milwaukee Brewers
0%
Oakland Athletics
0%
San Diego Padres
0%
San Francisco Giants
0%
Tampa Bay Rays
0%
Another team
45%
No team will win the 2021 World Series
0%

Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?

2%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 286 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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