Good Judgment® Open

In Gundy v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress' delegation of authority to the attorney general in the federal Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act (SORNA) violates the nondelegation doctrine?

9%

Chance

115 Forecasters • 210 Forecasts

Started Sep 21, 2018 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jun 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Which major stock exchange index among the four "Asian Tiger" economies will perform best between 10 January 2019 and 28 June 2019?

202 Forecasters • 596 Forecasts

Started Jan 11, 2019 06:00PM UTC

Closing Jun 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC

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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index

28%

Singapore's Straits Times Index

13%

South Korea's KOSPI

12%

Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index

47%

Will the Supreme Court rule that any part of either North Carolina's or Maryland's congressional district maps is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?

50%

Chance

145 Forecasters • 241 Forecasts

Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC

Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

In Tennessee Wine & Spirits Retailers Association v. Blair, will the Supreme Court rule that Tennessee's residency requirements for issuing liquor licenses are unconstitutional?

70%

Chance

99 Forecasters • 168 Forecasts

Started Dec 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC

Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 July 2019, will Daniel Ortega cease to be president of Nicaragua?

1%

Chance

167 Forecasters • 430 Forecasts

Started Aug 15, 2018 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jun 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 July 2019, will AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, or Verizon offer 5G smartphones to US customers?

147 Forecasters • 354 Forecasts

Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

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15%

Yes, 1 of the companies

15%

Yes, 2 of the companies

27%

Yes, 3 of the companies

29%

Yes, all 4 of the companies

14%

What percentage of all domestic U.S. equity funds will be outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index for the one-year period ending 30 June 2019?

315 Forecasters • 599 Forecasts

Started Nov 16, 2018 06:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

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Less than 40.00%

Between 40.00% and 60.00%, inclusive

47%

More than 60.00% but less than 80.00%

38%

80.00% or more

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?

10%

Chance

81 Forecasters • 128 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?

5%

Chance

57 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

3%

Chance

56 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

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In Gundy v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress' delegation of authority to the attorney general in the federal Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act (SORNA) violates the nondelegation doctrine?

9%

Which major stock exchange index among the four "Asian Tiger" economies will perform best between 10 January 2019 and 28 June 2019?

Will the Supreme Court rule that any part of either North Carolina's or Maryland's congressional district maps is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?

50%

In Tennessee Wine & Spirits Retailers Association v. Blair, will the Supreme Court rule that Tennessee's residency requirements for issuing liquor licenses are unconstitutional?

70%

Before 1 July 2019, will Daniel Ortega cease to be president of Nicaragua?

1%

Before 1 July 2019, will AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, or Verizon offer 5G smartphones to US customers?

What percentage of all domestic U.S. equity funds will be outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index for the one-year period ending 30 June 2019?

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?

10%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?

5%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

3%

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