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What will be the ending stocks of crude oil in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in December 2022?

23 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 340,000 thousand barrels
1%
Between 340,000 thousand barrels and 400,000 thousand barrels, inclusive
5%
More than 400,000 thousand barrels but less than 460,000 thousand barrels
49%
Between 460,000 thousand barrels and 520,000 thousand barrels, inclusive
41%
More than 520,000 thousand barrels but less than 580,000 thousand barrels
4%
580,000 thousand barrels or more
0%
SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the price of palladium on 21 October 2022, according to the London Metal Exchange?

37 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 21, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 1600.00
0%
Between 1600.00 and 2000.00, inclusive
5%
More than 2000.00 but less than 2400.00
33%
Between 2400.00 and 2800.00, inclusive
40%
More than 2800.00 but less than 3200.00
21%
Between 3200.00 and 3600.00, inclusive
1%
More than 3600.00
0%
David Epstein asks:

As of 15 July 2022, how many refugees will have fled Ukraine since 24 February 2022, according to UNHCR?

85 Forecasters • 241 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 6.4 million
0%
Between 6.4 million and 7.6 million, inclusive
40%
More than 7.6 million but fewer than 8.8 million
49%
Between 8.8 million and 10.0 million
11%
More than 10.0 million but fewer than 11.2 million
0%
Between 11.2 million and 12.4 million, inclusive
0%
More than 12.4 million
0%
David Epstein asks:

Will President Volodymyr Zelensky either flee Ukraine or cease to be its president before 25 November 2022?

5%

Chance
146 Forecasters • 212 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 25, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Bobbiekar52 asks:

Before 5 August 2022, will a NATO member state accuse Russia of using a chemical or biological weapon in Ukraine?

20%

Chance
162 Forecasters • 478 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC

How many quarters of negative real GDP growth will the European Union (EU) experience in 2022?

68 Forecasters • 184 Forecasts
Started Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Zero
6%
One
33%
Two
52%
Three or more
9%

When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

222 Forecasters • 742 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
3%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
6%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
10%
Not before 1 December 2022
81%
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