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When will Donald Trump cease to be president of the United States?

1388 Forecasters • 2529 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 20, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Before Inauguration Day 2021
5%
On Inauguration Day 2021
51%
After Inauguration Day 2021
44%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Who will win the 2020 United States presidential election?

1607 Forecasters • 2143 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The Democratic Party nominee
50%
The Republican Party nominee
50%
Another candidate
0%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college?

75%

Chance
1779 Forecasters • 2141 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the United States experience at least one quarter of negative real GDP growth in 2020?

55%

Chance
1123 Forecasters • 1606 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for U.S. president?

665 Forecasters • 1597 Forecasts
Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 14, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Joe Biden
99%
Michael Bloomberg
0%
Pete Buttigieg
0%
Amy Klobuchar
0%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Elizabeth Warren
0%
Someone Else
0%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?

55%

Chance
1201 Forecasters • 1551 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a date be set for a referendum on Scotland's status within the United Kingdom?

10%

Chance
1234 Forecasters • 1488 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS and The Economist ask:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 June 2020?

10%

Chance
1090 Forecasters • 1471 Forecasts
Started Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a United States Supreme Court seat be vacated?

1085 Forecasters • 1283 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
25%
Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
21%
No
54%