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Nesta, The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS ask

Before 1 October 2019, will the U.S. House of Representatives pass an article of impeachment against President Trump?

5%

Chance
3946 Forecasters • 5716 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020?

15%

Chance
2652 Forecasters • 3536 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020?

5%

Chance
2318 Forecasters • 2857 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will any EU member state besides the UK set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

5%

Chance
2266 Forecasters • 2773 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will the United States experience two consecutive quarters of a negative real GDP growth rate in 2019?

10%

Chance
1898 Forecasters • 2682 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS ask

Before 1 October 2019, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?

1896 Forecasters • 2528 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
12%
Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
2%
No
86%
Nesta asks

Before 1 January 2020, will either SpaceX or Boeing launch its first crewed space mission?

1569 Forecasters • 1920 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
83%
Yes, only SpaceX
13%
Yes, only Boeing
2%
Yes, both SpaceX and Boeing
2%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

45%

Chance
964 Forecasters • 1503 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC

When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?

380 Forecasters • 1502 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 April 2019
1%
Between 1 April 2019 and 30 June 2019, inclusive
1%
Between 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive
5%
Not before 1 January 2020
93%