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  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2019?

5%

Chance
4060 Forecasters • 5917 Forecasts
Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States before 1 January 2019?

5%

Chance
3485 Forecasters • 5271 Forecasts
Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2019, will any other EU member state schedule a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

5%

Chance
3560 Forecasters • 4954 Forecasts
Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Monkey Cage and   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2019, will Robert Mueller cease to be Special Counsel?

10%

Chance
1243 Forecasters • 2588 Forecasts
Started Apr 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2019, will the US federal government ban the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of bump stocks?

5%

Chance
1272 Forecasters • 2569 Forecasts
Started Mar 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

How many land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) will North Korea launch between 14 July 2017 and 31 December 2018?

733 Forecasters • 2534 Forecasts
Started Jul 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
0%
1
0%
2-3
99%
4-5
1%
6 or more
0%

Will the World Health Organization or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention declare an influenza pandemic before 2019?

1%

Chance
468 Forecasters • 1373 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

What will Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization be on 28 December 2018?

243 Forecasters • 955 Forecasts
Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 29, 2018 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $360 billion
5%
Between $360 billion and $430 billion, inclusive
75%
More than $430 billion but less than $500 billion
21%
Between $500 billion and $570 billion, inclusive
0%
Greater than $570 billion
0%
The Monkey Cage asks

On 3 January 2019, how many U.S. senators will be women?

301 Forecasters • 817 Forecasts
Started May 23, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 03, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
19 or fewer
0%
20
0%
21
0%
22
0%
23
14%
24
71%
25 or more
14%