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Maarten and Adam Grant ask:

Before 1 May 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics and/or Paralympics will be canceled?

1083 Forecasters • 2614 Forecasts
Started Jun 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, the Olympics only
0%
Yes, the Paralympics only
0%
Yes, both
5%
No
95%

How many countries will have 100,000 or more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 30 April 2021?

258 Forecasters • 1608 Forecasts
Started Oct 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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3
0%
4
0%
5 or 6
0%
7 or 8
100%
9 or more
0%
024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

3%

Chance
470 Forecasters • 1264 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

When will SpaceX's satellite internet service, Starlink, begin offering commercial service in North America?

350 Forecasters • 1019 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021
5%
Not before 1 July 2021
95%

When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?

171 Forecasters • 978 Forecasts
Started Sep 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021
44%
Between 1 July 2021 and 30 September 2021
53%
Not before 1 October 2021
3%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?

10%

Chance
171 Forecasters • 796 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Maarten and Adam Grant ask:

Which will happen next regarding the price of a bitcoin?

425 Forecasters • 762 Forecasts
Started Feb 16, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Bitcoin will have a price of $25,000 or less
6%
Bitcoin will have a price of $100,000 or more
10%
Neither will occur before 1 July 2021
84%
oddball8 asks:

When will 25,000 or more fans next attend a Premier League match?

214 Forecasters • 742 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 23, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 19 October 2020
0%
Between 19 October 2020 and 31 December 2020
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 15 March 2021
0%
Between 16 March 2021 and 23 May 2021
0%
Not before 24 May 2021
100%
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) and WBHumanoid ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?

5%

Chance
203 Forecasters • 719 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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