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Maarten asks:

Before 1 May 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics and/or Paralympics will be canceled?

360 Forecasters • 1019 Forecasts
Started Jun 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, the Olympics only
0%
Yes, the Paralympics only
0%
Yes, both
19%
No
81%
Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

0%

Chance
286 Forecasters • 882 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC

How many countries will have 100,000 or more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 30 April 2021?

171 Forecasters • 878 Forecasts
Started Oct 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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3
0%
4
0%
5 or 6
25%
7 or 8
55%
9 or more
20%
024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

10%

Chance
409 Forecasters • 867 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many cases of COVID-19 will be reported by the Africa CDC as of 1 April 2021?

137 Forecasters • 862 Forecasts
Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 2.5 million
0%
Between 2.5 million and 5.0 million, inclusive
55%
More than 5.0 million but fewer than 10.0 million
45%
Between 10.0 million and 20.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 20.0 million
0%
The Economist asks:

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved and/or authorized for emergency use by the U.S. FDA as of 31 March 2021?

288 Forecasters • 730 Forecasts
Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Zero
0%
1
0%
2
0%
3
48%
4 or more
52%

When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?

154 Forecasters • 639 Forecasts
Started Sep 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 January 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021
34%
Between 1 July 2021 and 30 September 2021
44%
Not before 1 October 2021
22%
oddball8 asks:

When will 25,000 or more fans next attend a Premier League match?

182 Forecasters • 523 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 23, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 19 October 2020
0%
Between 19 October 2020 and 31 December 2020
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 15 March 2021
0%
Between 16 March 2021 and 23 May 2021
8%
Not before 24 May 2021
92%

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

4%

Chance
129 Forecasters • 492 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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