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  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020?

15%

Chance
2736 Forecasters • 3776 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020?

5%

Chance
2420 Forecasters • 3040 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will any EU member state besides the UK set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

4%

Chance
2380 Forecasters • 2969 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will the United States experience two consecutive quarters of a negative real GDP growth rate in 2019?

10%

Chance
1987 Forecasters • 2916 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Between 3 May 2019 and 1 November 2019, which of the following will happen first in relation to the Brexit process?

1098 Forecasters • 2430 Forecasts
Started May 03, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The UK will leave the EU with the November 2018 Withdrawal Agreement in place
7%
The UK will leave the EU with a new or renegotiated version of a Withdrawal Agreement in place
12%
The UK will leave the EU without a Withdrawal Agreement in place
22%
The UK will revoke Article 50
6%
The UK's Article 50 period will be extended beyond 31 October 2019
31%
The UK will set a date for a General Election
16%
The UK will set a date for a referendum on Brexit
6%
Nesta asks

Before 1 January 2020, will either SpaceX or Boeing launch its first crewed space mission?

1751 Forecasters • 2194 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
90%
Yes, only SpaceX
7%
Yes, only Boeing
2%
Yes, both SpaceX and Boeing
1%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

40%

Chance
1052 Forecasters • 1826 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Between 22 February and 31 December 2019, how many CRISPR gene-edited babies will be born?

1457 Forecasters • 1691 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
35%
1
30%
More than 1
35%

When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?

437 Forecasters • 1679 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 April 2019
1%
Between 1 April 2019 and 30 June 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive
2%
Not before 1 January 2020
97%