Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Voided
Type
all
all
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 Long-term Vehicle... (13)
only
China and the World in... (9)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (16)
only
Finance Forecasting Ch... (1)
only
Foxes Ask (19)
only
In the News 2021 (102)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (24)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (19)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(1)
only
Business (46)
only
Non-US Politics (31)
only
Technology (30)
only
Health (22)
only
Finance (16)
only
Foreign Policy (14)
only
Security and Conflict (14)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (12)
only
Elections and Referenda (11)
only
Economic Policy (10)
only
Environment (10)
only
Society (10)
only
US Politics (9)
only
US Policy (8)
only
Economic Indicators (7)
only
Sports (6)
only
Entertainment (3)
only
Open (1)
only
Show more
Maarten
asks:
Before 1 May 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics and/or Paralympics will be canceled?
360 Forecasters • 1019 Forecasts
Started
Jun 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, the Olympics only
0%
Yes, the Paralympics only
0%
Yes, both
19%
No
81%
Foxes Ask:
Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?
0%
Chance
286 Forecasters • 882 Forecasts
Started
Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
How many countries will have 100,000 or more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 30 April 2021?
171 Forecasters • 878 Forecasts
Started
Oct 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
3
0%
4
0%
5 or 6
25%
7 or 8
55%
9 or more
20%
024_andrew
and
The Economist
ask:
Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?
10%
Chance
409 Forecasters • 867 Forecasts
Started
Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
How many cases of COVID-19 will be reported by the Africa CDC as of 1 April 2021?
137 Forecasters • 862 Forecasts
Started
Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 2.5 million
0%
Between 2.5 million and 5.0 million, inclusive
55%
More than 5.0 million but fewer than 10.0 million
45%
Between 10.0 million and 20.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 20.0 million
0%
iforbes
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of the People's Republic of China and those of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and/or Vietnam before 1 April 2021?
5%
Chance
383 Forecasters • 830 Forecasts
Started
Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved and/or authorized for emergency use by the U.S. FDA as of 31 March 2021?
288 Forecasters • 730 Forecasts
Started
Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Zero
0%
1
0%
2
0%
3
48%
4 or more
52%
When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?
154 Forecasters • 639 Forecasts
Started
Sep 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2021
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021
34%
Between 1 July 2021 and 30 September 2021
44%
Not before 1 October 2021
22%
oddball8
asks:
When will 25,000 or more fans next attend a Premier League match?
182 Forecasters • 523 Forecasts
Started
Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 23, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 19 October 2020
0%
Between 19 October 2020 and 31 December 2020
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 15 March 2021
0%
Between 16 March 2021 and 23 May 2021
8%
Not before 24 May 2021
92%
Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?
4%
Chance
129 Forecasters • 492 Forecasts
Started
Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
1
2
3
4
5
…
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel