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When will Donald Trump cease to be president of the United States?

1216 Forecasters • 1934 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 20, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before Inauguration Day 2021
10%
On Inauguration Day 2021
55%
After Inauguration Day 2021
35%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college?

75%

Chance
1271 Forecasters • 1320 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS and The Economist ask:

Before 13 July 2020, will the United States and Afghan Taliban sign a peace agreement?

25%

Chance
891 Forecasters • 1031 Forecasts
Started Dec 20, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 13, 2020 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Who will win the 2020 United States presidential election?

980 Forecasters • 1022 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The Democratic Party nominee
56%
The Republican Party nominee
44%
Another candidate
0%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?

60%

Chance
921 Forecasters • 970 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS and The Economist ask:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 June 2020?

20%

Chance
825 Forecasters • 941 Forecasts
Started Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a date be set for a referendum on Scotland's status within the United Kingdom?

35%

Chance
852 Forecasters • 886 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a United States Supreme Court seat be vacated?

828 Forecasters • 860 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
25%
Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
21%
No
54%