Foxes ask:
Will Saudi Arabia publicly announce that it will normalize relations with the State of Israel before 1 September 2024?
Closed Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Reports indicate that the US is negotiating an agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia that would include the latter normalizing relations with the former (AP, Yahoo, Al Jazeera). Various Arab states recognized or agreed to normalize relations with Israel in 2020 (e.g., NY Times, CNN, NPR, CNN).
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NOTE 2 May 2024: The question is concerned with the date of the announcement by Saudi Arabia, irrespective of when the normalization will occur. Conditional announcements (e.g., if Israel does X, if the US does Y) will not count. Please see the examples in the question description for further illustration of what will count.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 3% | |
No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 195 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 178 | |
Number of Forecasts | 752 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 521 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |