Good Judgment® Open

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?

32%

Chance

109 Forecasters • 119 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?

42%

Chance

74 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?

10%

Chance

53 Forecasters • 64 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?

5%

Chance

37 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

5%

Chance

35 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?

10%

Chance

37 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?

9%

Chance

39 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?

26%

Chance

35 Forecasters • 41 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?

4%

Chance

37 Forecasters • 40 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?

5%

Chance

44 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

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Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?

32%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?

42%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?

10%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?

5%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

5%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?

10%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?

9%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?

26%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?

4%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?

5%

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