Sort By

Between 12 August 2019 and 30 November 2019, will Russia and Iran conduct any joint naval exercises in the Strait of Hormuz?

6%

Chance
100 Forecasters • 125 Forecasts
Started Aug 12, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2019 08:00AM UTC

Before 1 November 2019, will the British oil tanker Stena Impero be released from Iranian custody?

88%

Chance
69 Forecasters • 137 Forecasts
Started Aug 09, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2019 07:00AM UTC

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?

4%

Chance
73 Forecasters • 108 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:30PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

4%

Chance
36 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?

3%

Chance
38 Forecasters • 75 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?

8%

Chance
39 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 July 2019 and 30 June 2020, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?

9%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC