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Show less
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 January 2023?
8%
Chance
8 Forecasters • 9 Forecasts
Started
Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the daily reported natural gas in storage in the EU for 31 July 2022?
7 Forecasters • 8 Forecasts
Started
Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing
Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 650.0 TWh
0%
Between 650.0 TWh and 700.0 TWh, inclusive
0%
More than 700.0 TWh but less than 750.0 TWh
23%
Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive
71%
More than 800.0 TWh
6%
Foxes Ask:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?
65%
Chance
23 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
What will be the closing spot price for US natural gas on 23 December 2022?
27 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 23, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4.00
0%
Between 4.00 and 5.50, inclusive
0%
More than 5.50 but less than 7.00
7%
Between 7.00 and 8.50, inclusive
29%
More than 8.50 but less than 10.00
26%
Between 10.00 and 11.50, inclusive
24%
More than 11.50 but less than 13.00
7%
Between 13.00 and 14.50, inclusive
7%
More than 14.50
0%
What will voter turnout be in the 2022 presidency elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Bosnia)?
13 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 44.0%
0%
Between 44.0% and 48.0%, inclusive
2%
More than 48.0% but less than 52.0%
31%
Between 52.0% and 56.0%, inclusive
63%
More than 56.0%
4%
Presidency elections will not be held in 2022
0%
erikbays
asks:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 April 2023?
59%
Chance
30 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started
Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein
asks:
Will Finland and/or Sweden become members of NATO before 1 January 2023?
151 Forecasters • 269 Forecasts
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, Finland only
0%
Yes, Sweden only
0%
Yes, both Finland and Sweden
69%
No
31%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for "Food" in November 2022?
60 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 7.5% but less than 10.0%
24%
Between 10.0% and 12.5%, inclusive
52%
More than 12.5% but less than 15.0%
24%
15.0% or more
0%
erikbays
asks:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of an ECOWAS member state in Western Africa before 1 April 2023?
41%
Chance
33 Forecasters • 63 Forecasts
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Australia and Papua New Guinea (PNG) sign a bilateral defense treaty before 6 May 2023?
58%
Chance
30 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started
May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 06, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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