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The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?

12%

Chance
Make Forecast
44 Forecasters • 56 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?

13%

Chance
Make Forecast
30 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?

1%

Chance
Make Forecast
30 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?

3%

Chance
Make Forecast
30 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?

2%

Chance
Make Forecast
25 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?

2%

Chance
Make Forecast
30 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?

4%

Chance
Make Forecast
23 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?

3%

Chance
Make Forecast
25 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Early Warning Project asks

Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?

2%

Chance
Make Forecast
25 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC