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  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020?

5%

Chance
1366 Forecasters • 1571 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?

10%

Chance
72 Forecasters • 122 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?

10%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 86 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

10%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 53 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?

3%

Chance
30 Forecasters • 56 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?

2%

Chance
36 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?

3%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC