Good Judgment® Open

Before 22 August 2019, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?

20%

Chance

87 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts

Started Jun 21, 2019 05:20PM UTC

Closing Aug 21, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?

25%

Chance

156 Forecasters • 214 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?

24%

Chance

113 Forecasters • 198 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?

8%

Chance

84 Forecasters • 134 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?

5%

Chance

59 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

4%

Chance

60 Forecasters • 104 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?

7%

Chance

62 Forecasters • 124 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?

2%

Chance

67 Forecasters • 110 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?

10%

Chance

58 Forecasters • 105 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?

5%

Chance

62 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts

Started Mar 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

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Before 22 August 2019, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?

20%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?

25%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?

24%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?

8%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?

5%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?

4%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?

7%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?

2%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?

10%

Between 1 April 2019 and 31 March 2020, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?

5%

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