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Between 25 July 2020 and 25 November 2020, will a lethal confrontation in Libya result in five or more fatalities for Egyptian armed forces?

50%

Chance
67 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started Jul 24, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 26, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks:

For between 8 July 2020 and 7 August 2020, how many fatalities related to political violence and protest events will ACLED record in Ethiopia?

76 Forecasters • 240 Forecasts
Started Jul 07, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 07, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 100
99%
Between 100 and 500
1%
Between 501 and 1,000
0%
Between 1,001 and 3,000
0%
More than 3,000
0%

Before 26 December 2020, will the Australian government accuse the Chinese government, by name, of being behind the "copy-paste compromises" cyberattacks?

15%

Chance
98 Forecasters • 195 Forecasts
Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 26, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will Israel's Knesset pass a bill to annex and/or apply sovereignty over any West Bank territory before 1 January 2021?

35%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 206 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2020, will North Korea announce that it has a new head of state?

1%

Chance
532 Forecasters • 924 Forecasts
Started May 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Tanzania, or Uganda in 2020?

34%

Chance
115 Forecasters • 379 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People’s Armed Police (PAP) be mobilized in Hong Kong?

20%

Chance
191 Forecasters • 486 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC