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In Fulton v. City of Philadelphia (City), will the Supreme Court rule that the City's requirement that Catholic Social Services (CSS) not discriminate against same-sex couples as a condition for working with the City's foster children is unconstitutional?
70%
Chance
51 Forecasters • 94 Forecasts
Started
Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States either directed or inspired by a foreign terrorist organization before 1 September 2021?
5%
Chance
111 Forecasters • 187 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will any 2020 California election results be altered by a cyberattack against a voting system?
2%
Chance
108 Forecasters • 158 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?
25%
Chance
100 Forecasters • 186 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
WBHumanoid
asks:
Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?
5%
Chance
130 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started
Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation to provide at least $5 billion in new direct financial assistance to the United States Postal Service (USPS) become law?
0%
Chance
113 Forecasters • 409 Forecasts
Started
Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Will California voters approve Proposition 16 (Repeal Proposition 209 Affirmative Action Amendment)?
20%
Chance
57 Forecasters • 147 Forecasts
Started
Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Will Colorado voters approve Proposition 113 (Colorado National Popular Vote Interstate Compact Referendum)?
98%
Chance
60 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started
Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC
How many homicides will there be in Chicago, IL, in 2020?
85 Forecasters • 502 Forecasts
Started
Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 676
0%
Between 676 and 735
1%
Between 736 and 795
82%
More than 795
17%
WestfallJenny
,
robinr
, and
Ryan-Beck
ask:
Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation curtailing or eliminating qualified immunity for public officials become law?
0%
Chance
298 Forecasters • 477 Forecasts
Started
Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC
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