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Will legislation permitting electric utilities to recover 2018 wildfire liability debt costs by charging customers become law in California before 14 October 2019?

34%

Chance
129 Forecasters • 159 Forecasts
Started Mar 15, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 15, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Before 1 January 2020, will either SpaceX or Boeing launch its first crewed space mission?

858 Forecasters • 977 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
76%
Yes, only SpaceX
18%
Yes, only Boeing
3%
Yes, both SpaceX and Boeing
3%

Will the Supreme Court rule that any part of either North Carolina's or Maryland's congressional district maps is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?

55%

Chance
97 Forecasters • 143 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Will voter turnout for the 2019 European Parliament elections set a record low?

20%

Chance
243 Forecasters • 427 Forecasts
Started Jan 25, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 23, 2019 06:59AM UTC

In Manhattan Community Access Corp. v. Halleck, will the Supreme Court rule that the Manhattan Neighborhood Network is a public forum for First Amendment purposes?

57%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 95 Forecasts
Started Jan 11, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020?

20%

Chance
2213 Forecasters • 2761 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Robert Mueller cease to be Special Counsel before 1 January 2020?

78%

Chance
1573 Forecasters • 1970 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 October 2019, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?

1507 Forecasters • 1835 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
12%
Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
7%
No
81%

In Gamble v. United States, will the Supreme Court overrule the "separate sovereign" exception to the Double Jeopardy Clause?

11%

Chance
137 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started Oct 12, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC