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Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 October 2022?

23%

Chance
26 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

55%

Chance
40 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?

25 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 2,500.00
0%
Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive
8%
Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00
38%
Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive
36%
Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00
12%
Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive
6%
Higher than 10,000.00
0%
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

24 Forecasters • 44 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
26%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
48%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
22%
More than €140.000
4%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

What will be the United Arab Emirates' ranking in the Global Food Security Index for 2022, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit?

26 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 55th
0%
Between 55th and 41st
6%
Between 40th and 26th
70%
Higher than 25th
24%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

How many total international overnight guests will visit Dubai in 2022, according to the Dubai Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing?

17 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 10.0 million
0%
Between 10.0 and 12.5 million, inclusive
28%
More than 12.5 but fewer than 15.0 million
41%
Between 15.0 and 17.5 million, inclusive
27%
More than 17.5 million but fewer than 20.0 million
4%
Between 20.0 million and 22.5 million, inclusive
0%
More than 22.5 million
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will Dubai's EXPO 2020 attract 25 million visits?

33%

Chance
51 Forecasters • 89 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What percentage of venture capital dollars will go to US startups with female-only founders in 2022, according to Crunchbase?

31 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.5%
30%
Between 2.5% and 2.9%, inclusive
52%
More than 2.9% but less than 3.5%
13%
3.5% or more
5%
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