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The Economist
asks:
Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?
49%
Chance
43 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies approve the Federal Law for the Regulation of Cannabis?
16 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 March 2021
0%
Between 1 March and 31 March 2021
88%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 April 2021
9%
Not before 1 May 2021
3%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the monthly occupancy level of European hotels next reach 50.0% or higher before June 2021, according to Smith Travel Research?
30%
Chance
84 Forecasters • 191 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Econja2018
asks:
Will net international migration between the U.S. and abroad for 2021 be higher than the net international migration for 2020?
85%
Chance
54 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started
Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Before 4 June 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who "worked from home exclusively" fell below 20%?
52%
Chance
167 Forecasters • 316 Forecasts
Started
Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC
In Fulton v. City of Philadelphia (City), will the Supreme Court rule that the City's requirement that Catholic Social Services (CSS) not discriminate against same-sex couples as a condition for working with the City's foster children is unconstitutional?
96%
Chance
64 Forecasters • 185 Forecasts
Started
Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States either directed or inspired by a foreign terrorist organization before 1 September 2021?
5%
Chance
151 Forecasters • 312 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will any 2020 California election results be altered by a cyberattack against a voting system?
0%
Chance
138 Forecasters • 272 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?
30%
Chance
137 Forecasters • 491 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
WBHumanoid
asks:
Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?
4%
Chance
168 Forecasters • 466 Forecasts
Started
Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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