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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

34%

Chance
40 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen fewer than 1.3 million travelers per day for three consecutive days?

49 Forecasters • 63 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 October 2021
0%
Between 1 October 2021 and 30 November 2021
0%
Between 1 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
0%
Between 1 February 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Not before 1 April 2022
100%
Tim Harford asks:

When will the 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases in the UK next fall below 15,000?

77 Forecasters • 160 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC
Closing Dec 18, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Before 11 September 2021
63%
Between 11 September 2021 and 29 October 2021
27%
Between 30 October 2021 and 17 December 2021
9%
Not before 18 December 2021
1%

When will 600 million people in India have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

46 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 12, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 September 2021
0%
Between 1 September 2021 and 24 September 2021
2%
Between 25 September 2021 and 18 October 2021
42%
Between 19 October 2021 and 11 November 2021
43%
Not before 12 November 2021
13%

What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?

55 Forecasters • 114 Forecasts
Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 250.00000
1%
Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive
22%
Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000
46%
Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive
27%
Higher than 280.00000
4%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?

33 Forecasters • 76 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 60,000
0%
Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive
0%
More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000
26%
Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive
58%
More than 240,000
16%
The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

81%

Chance
137 Forecasters • 153 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?

87 Forecasters • 115 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive
16%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000
39%
Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive
32%
More than 70,000
13%
The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

138 Forecasters • 169 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 2030
4%
Between 2030 and 2039
46%
Between 2040 and 2049
33%
Not before 2050
17%
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

99 Forecasters • 138 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 10
7%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
68%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
20%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
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