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Will the Supreme Court rule that any part of either North Carolina's or Maryland's congressional district maps is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?

40%

Chance
27 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Which film will win the 2019 Academy Award for Best Picture?

40 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Black Panther
5%
BlacKkKlansman
5%
Bohemian Rhapsody
5%
The Favourite
12%
Green Book
9%
Roma
51%
A Star Is Born
9%
Vice
4%

Who will win the 2019 Academy Award for Actor in a Leading Role?

28 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Christian Bale (Vice)
20%
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)
4%
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate)
2%
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
71%
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
3%

Which film will win the 2019 Academy Award for Directing?

23 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 24, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
BlacKkKlansman (Spike Lee)
15%
Cold War (Pawel Pawlikowski)
8%
The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos)
6%
Roma (Alfonso Cuarón)
65%
Vice (Adam McKay)
6%
The Economist asks

Will voter turnout for the 2019 European Parliament elections set a record low?

30%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 112 Forecasts
Started Jan 25, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 23, 2019 06:59AM UTC

In Manhattan Community Access Corp. v. Halleck, will the Supreme Court rule that the Manhattan Neighborhood Network is a public forum for First Amendment purposes?

60%

Chance
23 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts
Started Jan 11, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020?

30%

Chance
1724 Forecasters • 2089 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Robert Mueller cease to be Special Counsel before 1 January 2020?

60%

Chance
1277 Forecasters • 1481 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?

10%

Chance
72 Forecasters • 122 Forecasts
Started Dec 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC