Sort By

Before 1 October 2019, will Margaret Atwood's book "The Testaments" be #1 on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list?

93%

Chance
61 Forecasters • 93 Forecasts
Started Aug 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2019 06:59PM UTC
The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?

175 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, a firm
5%
Yes, a paid backup driver
3%
Yes, both
1%
No
91%

Will legislation permitting electric utilities to recover 2018 wildfire liability debt costs by charging customers become law in California before 14 October 2019?

25%

Chance
261 Forecasters • 417 Forecasts
Started Mar 15, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 15, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Before 1 January 2020, will either SpaceX or Boeing launch its first crewed space mission?

1569 Forecasters • 1920 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
83%
Yes, only SpaceX
13%
Yes, only Boeing
2%
Yes, both SpaceX and Boeing
2%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020?

15%

Chance
2652 Forecasters • 3536 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS ask

Before 1 October 2019, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?

1896 Forecasters • 2528 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
12%
Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
2%
No
86%