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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan as of 31 July 2022?

13 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 3.8 million
1%
Between 3.8 million and 4.3 million, inclusive
38%
More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million
55%
Between 4.8 million and 5.3 million, inclusive
6%
More than 5.3 million but fewer than 5.8 million
0%
Between 5.8 million and 6.3 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.3 million
0%
Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

70%

Chance
24 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in December 2022?

19 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive
0%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million
12%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive
44%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million
40%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive
4%
More than 75 million
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

19 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
34%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
38%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
27%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
1%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%

What will be the closing spot price for US natural gas on 23 December 2022?

27 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 23, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 4.00
0%
Between 4.00 and 5.50, inclusive
0%
More than 5.50 but less than 7.00
7%
Between 7.00 and 8.50, inclusive
29%
More than 8.50 but less than 10.00
26%
Between 10.00 and 11.50, inclusive
24%
More than 11.50 but less than 13.00
7%
Between 13.00 and 14.50, inclusive
7%
More than 14.50
0%

What will be the unadjusted percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for coffee in May 2023 as compared to May 2022?

18 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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Down by more than 3.0%
2%
Down by between 0.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
7%
Up by more than 0.0% but less than 3.0%
26%
Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
32%
Up by more than 6.0% but less than 9.0%
21%
Up by between 9.0% and 12.0%, inclusive
12%
Up by more than 12.0%
0%

What will voter turnout be in the 2022 presidency elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Bosnia)?

13 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 44.0%
0%
Between 44.0% and 48.0%, inclusive
2%
More than 48.0% but less than 52.0%
32%
Between 52.0% and 56.0%, inclusive
63%
More than 56.0%
3%
Presidency elections will not be held in 2022
0%

What will be the 12-month moving average of median wage growth for "Paid hourly" workers in April 2023?

20 Forecasters • 40 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 2.0%
0%
Between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 4.0% but less than 6.0%
69%
Between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
31%
More than 8.0%
0%
David Epstein and Foxes ask:

Will Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter close before 1 January 2023? 

20%

Chance
87 Forecasters • 161 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
erikbays asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 April 2023?

60%

Chance
31 Forecasters • 57 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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