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The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?

141 Forecasters • 199 Forecasts
Started Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, a firm
12%
Yes, a paid backup driver
6%
Yes, both
4%
No
78%

Will legislation permitting electric utilities to recover 2018 wildfire liability debt costs by charging customers become law in California before 14 October 2019?

38%

Chance
189 Forecasters • 273 Forecasts
Started Mar 15, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 15, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Before 1 January 2020, will either SpaceX or Boeing launch its first crewed space mission?

1231 Forecasters • 1488 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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No
79%
Yes, only SpaceX
15%
Yes, only Boeing
3%
Yes, both SpaceX and Boeing
3%

Will the Supreme Court rule that any part of either North Carolina's or Maryland's congressional district maps is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?

50%

Chance
156 Forecasters • 263 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020?

15%

Chance
2546 Forecasters • 3289 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 October 2019, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?

1738 Forecasters • 2206 Forecasts
Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
13%
Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
5%
No
82%