Good Judgment® Open

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?

51%

Chance

31 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts

Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

jayb asks:

How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2021 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?

92 Forecasters • 226 Forecasts

Started Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Show All Possible Answers

2 or fewer

7%

3

23%

4

33%

5

26%

6 or more

11%

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance

71 Forecasters • 125 Forecasts

Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Cmen asks:

In 2021, will total fire activity in the Amazon exceed the 2020 total count?

56%

Chance

143 Forecasters • 422 Forecasts

Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC

Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 September 2021, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir?

5%

Chance

93 Forecasters • 297 Forecasts

Started Oct 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC

Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC