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What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?

61 Forecasters • 182 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 08, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148)
18%
No Time to Die will gross more than Spectre but less than Skyfall ($88,364,714)
29%
No Time to Die will gross as much or more than Skyfall
53%
Tim Harford asks:

According to The Infinite Dial 2022, what percentage of the US population will have "listened to a podcast in the last month?"

106 Forecasters • 243 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 42%
0%
Between 42% and 44%, inclusive
37%
More than 44% but less than 48%
55%
48% or more
8%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?

20%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 88 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?

56%

Chance
144 Forecasters • 352 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Luckbox Magazine asks:

Will SpaceX and/or Virgin Galactic complete a successful space tourist flight before 1 January 2022?

151 Forecasters • 408 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Yes, only SpaceX
63%
Yes, only Virgin Galactic
0%
Yes, both
1%
No
36%
The Economist asks:

What will be the combined U.S. domestic theater box office gross for June, July, and August 2021?

121 Forecasters • 601 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Less than $200 million
0%
Between $200 million and $500 million, inclusive
0%
More than $500 million but less than $1 billion
0%
Between $1 billion and $1.75 billion, inclusive
100%
More than $1.75 billion
0%
Kinnaj asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will a release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher?

21%

Chance
50 Forecasters • 150 Forecasts
Started Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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