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Before 4 July 2020, will Fitch, Moody's, and/or S&P downgrade Italy's long-term foreign currency issuer ratings?

66%

Chance
24 Forecasters • 27 Forecasts
Started Mar 27, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 04, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 May 2020, will the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close below 15.00?

10%

Chance
94 Forecasters • 120 Forecasts
Started Mar 20, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 19 June 2020 relative to its closing value on 19 March 2020?

125 Forecasters • 168 Forecasts
Started Mar 20, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 19, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Down more than 15.0%
18%
Down between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
29%
Between down less than 5.0% and up less than 5.0%
23%
Up between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
22%
Up more than 15.0%
8%

Before 27 June 2020, will the weekly average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances in the U.S. fall below 3.00%?

75%

Chance
179 Forecasters • 260 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 27, 2020 06:59AM UTC

What will be the end-of-day closing value for the South Korean won (₩) against the U.S. dollar on 15 July 2020?

100 Forecasters • 206 Forecasts
Started Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Less than ₩1,150.0000
9%
Between ₩1,150.0000 and ₩1,200.0000, inclusive
24%
More than ₩1,200.0000 but less than ₩1,250.0000
37%
Between ₩1,250.0000 and ₩1,300.0000, inclusive
24%
More than ₩1,300.0000
6%

When will the yield curve for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasurys next invert?

53 Forecasters • 135 Forecasts
Started Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Before 15 March 2020
1%
Between 15 March 2020 and 30 April 2020
1%
Between 1 May 2020 and 15 June 2020
6%
Between 16 June 2020 and 31 July 2020
8%
Not before 1 August 2020
84%
The Economist asks:

For the month of June 2020, what will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone?

261 Forecasters • 506 Forecasts
Started Dec 27, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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0.0% or less
10%
Between 0.1% and 1.0%, inclusive
47%
Between 1.0% and 2.0%
39%
2.0% or more
4%