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What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

42 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $75 billion
11%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
24%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
39%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
16%
More than $150 billion
10%
The Economist asks:

Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?

28%

Chance
60 Forecasters • 96 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?

62 Forecasters • 112 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.500
10%
Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive
50%
More than 2.000 but less than 2.500
35%
Between 2.500 and 3.000, inclusive
4%
More than 3.000
1%
SE_Meyer asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin?

50%

Chance
66 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Before 19 June 2021, will the end-of-day closing value for the Turkish lira against the U.S. dollar exceed 9.00?

2%

Chance
54 Forecasters • 111 Forecasts
Started Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?

169 Forecasters • 321 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022
25%
Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022
75%
No
0%
The Economist asks:

Before 7 May 2021, will the Bank of England set its Bank Rate to below zero?

14%

Chance
164 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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