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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

73%

Chance
42 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization on 31 May 2022?

41 Forecasters • 81 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than $600 billion
1%
Between $600 billion and $850 billion, inclusive
30%
More than $850 billion but less than $1.10 trillion
51%
Between $1.10 trillion and $1.35 trillion, inclusive
17%
More than $1.35 trillion
1%

What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?

41 Forecasters • 75 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 33,000.00
6%
Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive
11%
Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00
24%
Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive
31%
Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00
21%
37,000.00 or more
7%

What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?

57 Forecasters • 80 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
12%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
53%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
31%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
4%
4% or higher
0%

What will be Rivian's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

29 Forecasters • 73 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $50 billion
0%
Between $50 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
37%
More than $70 billion but less than $90 billion
61%
Between $90 billion and $110 billion, inclusive
2%
More than $110 billion
0%
Rivian will not trade publicly before 1 January 2022
0%

What percentage of venture capital dollars will go to US startups with female-only founders in 2022, according to Crunchbase?

31 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 2.5%
27%
Between 2.5% and 2.9%, inclusive
54%
More than 2.9% but less than 3.5%
14%
3.5% or more
5%

What will be the total value of assets under management by global sustainable funds at the end of 2021, according to Morningstar?

53 Forecasters • 90 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $2,250 billion
0%
Between $2,250 and $2,500 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $2,500 but less than $2,750 billion
16%
Between $2,750 and $3,000 billion, inclusive
47%
More than $3,000 billion but less than $3,250 billion
31%
$3,250 billion or more
6%
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the annual change in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for November 2021?

55 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.7%
0%
Between 1.7% and 2.2%, inclusive
0%
More than 2.2% but less than 2.9%
1%
Between 2.9% and 3.4%, inclusive
16%
More than 3.4% but less than 4.1%
57%
4.1% or more
26%
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