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What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 20 October 2019?

61 Forecasters • 215 Forecasts
Started Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 19, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 2.30
65%
Between 2.30 and 2.70, inclusive
22%
More than 2.70 but less than 3.10
8%
Between 3.10 and 3.50, inclusive
3%
More than 3.50
2%
Nesta asks

What will be the closing value for the pound against the euro on 1 November 2019?

533 Forecasters • 677 Forecasts
Started Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Below 1.00
21%
Between 1.00 and 1.10, inclusive
46%
More than 1.10 but less than 1.20
21%
Between 1.20 and 1.30, inclusive
6%
More than 1.30
6%
The Economist asks

On 25 September 2019, what will be Venezuela's annual inflation rate according to Bloomberg's Cafe Con Leche Index?

96 Forecasters • 207 Forecasts
Started May 24, 2019 04:45PM UTC
Closing Sep 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 50,000%
68%
Between 50,000% and 100,000%, inclusive
23%
Between 100,000% and 200,000%
3%
Between 200,000% and 500,000%, inclusive
3%
More than 500,000%
3%

Before 1 November 2019, will the U.S. Congress ratify the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA)?

29%

Chance
179 Forecasters • 370 Forecasts
Started May 17, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks

What will be the price of regular gasoline in the U.S. per gallon on 30 December 2019?

118 Forecasters • 244 Forecasts
Started Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Less than $2.400
10%
Between $2.400 and $2.650, inclusive
31%
More than $2.650 but less than $2.900
36%
Between $2.900 and $3.150, inclusive
16%
More than $3.150
7%

What will be the closing value of the S&P/TSX Composite Index on 31 October 2019?

95 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started Apr 19, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 15,000.00
8%
Between 15,000.00 and 16,000.00, inclusive
32%
More than 16,000.00 but less than 17,000.00
43%
Between 17,000.00 and 18,000.00, inclusive
15%
More than 18,000.00
2%

What will be the closing value for the Dow Jones Transportation Average on 30 August 2019?

91 Forecasters • 406 Forecasts
Started Apr 19, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 10,000.00
38%
Between 10,000.00 and 11,000.00, inclusive
58%
More than 11,000.00 but less than 12,000.00
2%
12,000.00 or more
2%

Will Bristol-Myers Squibb Corp.’s acquisition of Celgene Corp. close before 1 October 2019? 

16%

Chance
149 Forecasters • 358 Forecasts
Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

What will be the end-of-day closing value for the U.S. dollar against the Mexican peso on 29 November 2019?

110 Forecasters • 342 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 29, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Less than Mex$17.5000
3%
Between Mex$17.5000 and Mex$18.5000, inclusive
5%
More than Mex$18.5000 but less than Mex$19.5000
47%
Between Mex$19.5000 and Mex$20.5000, inclusive
42%
More than Mex$20.5000
3%
The Economist asks

Who will the European Council appoint as the next European Central Bank (ECB) president?

260 Forecasters • 596 Forecasts
Started Jan 25, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Someone from Finland
14%
Someone from France
19%
Someone from Germany
14%
Someone from Ireland
14%
Someone else
13%
No appointment will be made before 1 October 2019
26%