Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Voided
Type
all
all
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 Long-term Vehicle... (13)
only
China and the World in... (9)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (16)
only
Finance Forecasting Ch... (1)
only
Foxes Ask (19)
only
In the News 2021 (103)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (24)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (19)
only
US Election 2020 (1)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(1)
only
Business (46)
only
Non-US Politics (31)
only
Technology (30)
only
Health (22)
only
Finance (16)
only
Foreign Policy (14)
only
Security and Conflict (14)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (12)
only
Elections and Referenda (11)
only
Economic Policy (10)
only
Environment (10)
only
Society (10)
only
US Politics (10)
only
US Policy (8)
only
Economic Indicators (7)
only
Sports (6)
only
Entertainment (3)
only
Open (1)
only
Show more
The Economist
asks:
Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?
26%
Chance
55 Forecasters • 88 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?
176 Forecasters • 246 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only by the FDA
0%
Yes, only by the EMA
10%
Yes, by both the FDA and the EMA
1%
No
89%
Balzac
asks:
Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?
95%
Chance
166 Forecasters • 244 Forecasts
Started
Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?
8%
Chance
187 Forecasters • 232 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?
98%
Chance
48 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:
Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?
1%
Chance
281 Forecasters • 868 Forecasts
Started
Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
iforbes
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of the People's Republic of China and those of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and/or Vietnam before 1 April 2021?
5%
Chance
381 Forecasters • 823 Forecasts
Started
Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States either directed or inspired by a foreign terrorist organization before 1 September 2021?
5%
Chance
151 Forecasters • 307 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?
30%
Chance
137 Forecasters • 474 Forecasts
Started
Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
and
The Economist
ask:
Will the People's Republic of China (PRC) officially declare an air-defense identification zone (ADIZ) over any part of the South China Sea before 1 March 2021?
4%
Chance
201 Forecasters • 308 Forecasts
Started
Nov 09, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
1
2
3
4
5
…
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel