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Econja2018 asks:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?

0%

Chance
213 Forecasters • 458 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?

83%

Chance
156 Forecasters • 578 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

2%

Chance
78 Forecasters • 202 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?

1%

Chance
67 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started Jun 25, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?

0%

Chance
91 Forecasters • 277 Forecasts
Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?

7%

Chance
163 Forecasters • 663 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?

6%

Chance
108 Forecasters • 472 Forecasts
Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?

9%

Chance
80 Forecasters • 151 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?

9%

Chance
192 Forecasters • 801 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?

1%

Chance
89 Forecasters • 143 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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