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The Economist asks:

Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?

26%

Chance
55 Forecasters • 88 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?

176 Forecasters • 246 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only by the FDA
0%
Yes, only by the EMA
10%
Yes, by both the FDA and the EMA
1%
No
89%
Balzac asks:

Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?

95%

Chance
166 Forecasters • 244 Forecasts
Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?

8%

Chance
187 Forecasters • 232 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?

98%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

1%

Chance
281 Forecasters • 868 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?

30%

Chance
137 Forecasters • 474 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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