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  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó be detained or arrested by Venezuelan authorities before 1 January 2021?

39%

Chance
865 Forecasters • 987 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college?

75%

Chance
1786 Forecasters • 2152 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the United States experience at least one quarter of negative real GDP growth in 2020?

60%

Chance
1133 Forecasters • 1638 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Tanzania, or Uganda in 2020?

66%

Chance
66 Forecasters • 110 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
San Francisco Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the team winning the 2020 National Basketball Association championship be a first-time champion?

9%

Chance
91 Forecasters • 155 Forecasts
Started Feb 07, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 04, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

27%

Chance
112 Forecasters • 234 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 24, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Will the monthly U.S. civilian unemployment rate (U3) reach or exceed 4.0% for any month before 1 November 2020?

100%

Chance
236 Forecasters • 620 Forecasts
Started Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Will the Democratic Party nominate their presidential candidate on the first ballot of the presidential roll call at the 2020 Democratic National Convention?

99%

Chance
244 Forecasters • 558 Forecasts
Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 14, 2020 06:59AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the 2020 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference (NPT RevCon) produce a consensus statement?

6%

Chance
185 Forecasters • 397 Forecasts
Started Dec 06, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 January 2021?

5%

Chance
157 Forecasters • 258 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC