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Econja2018 asks:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?

2%

Chance
161 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin hold a bilateral meeting in 2021?

20%

Chance
208 Forecasters • 491 Forecasts
Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?

1%

Chance
99 Forecasters • 297 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?

228 Forecasters • 519 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only by the FDA
0%
Yes, only by the EMA
1%
Yes, by both the FDA and the EMA
0%
No
99%
The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021?

70%

Chance
103 Forecasters • 165 Forecasts
Started Mar 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Balzac asks:

Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?

98%

Chance
190 Forecasters • 365 Forecasts
Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?

2%

Chance
132 Forecasters • 356 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?

0%

Chance
235 Forecasters • 408 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?

25%

Chance
91 Forecasters • 268 Forecasts
Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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