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  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó be detained or arrested by Venezuelan authorities before 1 January 2021?

30%

Chance
1054 Forecasters • 1573 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college?

80%

Chance
2435 Forecasters • 3652 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the UN Security Council or UN General Assembly vote on a resolution concerning outer space before 1 May 2021?

36 Forecasters • 48 Forecasts
Started Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and China will vote for it
1%
Yes, and China will abstain or be absent from voting
1%
Yes, and China will vote against it
1%
No
97%
The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will the United Arab Emirates (UAE) be ranked higher than 21st in the Global Food Security Index Rankings for 2020?

90%

Chance
60 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Will the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) win more total Assembly seats in Myanmar's 2020 election than it did in the 2015 election?

40 Forecasters • 94 Forecasts
Started Jul 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes
83%
No
16%
No election will be held in 2020
1%
The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will the unemployment rate for the United Arab Emirates (UAE) exceed 5.00% in 2020?

2%

Chance
120 Forecasters • 299 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Tanzania, or Uganda in 2020?

6%

Chance
120 Forecasters • 496 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will the UAE’s Customer Happiness Index be higher for 2020 as compared to 2019?

80%

Chance
42 Forecasters • 104 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
San Francisco Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the team winning the 2020 National Basketball Association championship be a first-time champion?

2%

Chance
277 Forecasters • 830 Forecasts
Started Feb 07, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 15, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

5%

Chance
224 Forecasters • 638 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC