Zauchka asks:

Will Valery Gerasimov cease to be the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces before 5 November 2024?

Started May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Russian President Vladimir Putin replaced Sergei Shoigu as defense minister and appointed Andrei Belousov, a civilian economist, as his replacement (CNN). At the same time, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov noted that General Valery Gerasimov will continue as the Chief of the General Staff (AP).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 75.08% -0.34% -3.25% +25.08%
No 24.92% +0.34% +3.25% -25.08%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username