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What will be the end-of-day closing value for the Turkish lira against the US dollar on 30 November 2018?

58 Forecasters • 178 Forecasts
Started Aug 22, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 29, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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Less than 5.00
0%
Between 5.00 and 6.00, inclusive
16%
More than 6.00 but less than 7.00
69%
7.00 or more
15%

Will Serbia and Kosovo reach a comprehensive normalization agreement before 1 January 2020?

10%

Chance
116 Forecasters • 247 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 April 2019, how many countries will formally progress in the NATO accession process?

111 Forecasters • 289 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 02, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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0
31%
1
68%
2
1%
3
0%
4 or more
0%

What will be the all-time count of pro-Kremlin disinformation cases identified by the European Union External Action Service's East StratCom Task Force as of 18 April 2019?

74 Forecasters • 244 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 18, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 4300
0%
Between 4300 and 4900, inclusive
31%
More than 4900 but less than 5500
63%
Between 5500 and 6300, inclusive
6%
More than 6300
0%

What will be Russia's 2019 military expenditure as a percentage of GDP, according to SIPRI?

102 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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Less than 4.4%
38%
Between 4.4% and 4.9%, inclusive
33%
More than 4.9% but less than 5.5%
29%
Between 5.5% and 6.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0%
0%

Before 1 October 2019, will the OSCE verify that separatist forces have withdrawn all of their heavy weaponry in accordance with the Minsk II Peace Agreement?

2%

Chance
97 Forecasters • 207 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

How many media outlets will be on the Russian Ministry of Justice's list of media designated as foreign agents on 1 June 2019?

87 Forecasters • 183 Forecasts
Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 3
0%
3 to 7, inclusive
0%
8 to 10, inclusive
67%
11 to 20, inclusive
33%
More than 20
0%

Before 1 January 2020, will a NATO member formally invoke Article 4 or Article 5 of the Washington Treaty in response to actions taken by Russia?

5%

Chance
154 Forecasters • 337 Forecasts
Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59PM UTC

Before 1 January 2020, will any change be made to the Russian Constitution that would allow Vladimir Putin to remain in a leadership role after his current term?

20%

Chance
176 Forecasters • 350 Forecasts
Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC