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Will Algeria hold a presidential election on 12 December 2019?

1 Forecaster • 1 Forecast
Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a candidate who is a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
35%
Yes, and a candidate who is not a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
55%
No
10%

Before 18 April 2020, will former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?

0%

Chance
1 Forecaster • 1 Forecast
Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Before 15 March 2020, will the parliament of New Zealand pass a bill that would create a national gun register?

77%

Chance
23 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Oct 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC
lekker asks:

Between 4 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, will anti-government protests in Hong Kong result in three or more fatalities?

70%

Chance
71 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 January 2020?

163 Forecasters • 249 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, someone from the Conservative Party
13%
Yes, someone from the Labour Party
16%
Yes, someone from a party other than the Conservative or Labour Parties
2%
No
69%
London Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the United Kingdom (UK) leave the European Union (EU) on or before 31 October 2019?

20%

Chance
476 Forecasters • 891 Forecasts
Started Sep 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Between 3 May 2019 and 1 November 2019, which of the following will happen first in relation to the Brexit process?

1098 Forecasters • 2430 Forecasts
Started May 03, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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The UK will leave the EU with the November 2018 Withdrawal Agreement in place
7%
The UK will leave the EU with a new or renegotiated version of a Withdrawal Agreement in place
12%
The UK will leave the EU without a Withdrawal Agreement in place
22%
The UK will revoke Article 50
6%
The UK's Article 50 period will be extended beyond 31 October 2019
31%
The UK will set a date for a General Election
16%
The UK will set a date for a referendum on Brexit
6%

When will Denmark approve the construction of Nord Stream 2 through its territorial waters or Exclusive Economic Zone?

178 Forecasters • 426 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Before 1 June 2019
0%
Between 1 June and 31 August 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 September and 30 November 2019, inclusive
5%
Not before 1 December 2019
95%
The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will the registration deadline for Germany's ownership tax exemption for fully-electric vehicles be extended beyond 2020?

92%

Chance
146 Forecasters • 293 Forecasts
Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

40%

Chance
1052 Forecasters • 1825 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC