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Bernard Zimmermann asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the US officially rejoin the JCPOA?

15%

Chance
51 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Jan 14, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2023, will North Korea launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000 km?

40%

Chance
54 Forecasters • 76 Forecasts
Started Jan 14, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev either flee Kazakhstan or cease to be its president before 7 July 2022?

8%

Chance
129 Forecasters • 205 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 1 October 2022?

5%

Chance
112 Forecasters • 133 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist and DippySkippy ask:

Before 23 June 2022, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

40%

Chance
304 Forecasters • 665 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 23, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Between 24 December 2021 and 31 March 2022, what will be the highest seven-day average for COVID-19 patients in the UK to be admitted to [a] hospital?

60 Forecasters • 292 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1,500
0%
Between 1,500 and 2,000, inclusive
0%
More than 2,000 but less that 2,500
94%
Between 2,500 and 3,000, inclusive
5%
More than 3,000 but less than 3,500
1%
Between 3,500 and 4,000, inclusive
0%
More than 4,000
0%
The Economist asks:

Will Tunisia hold a constitutional referendum before 1 August 2022?

69%

Chance
108 Forecasters • 135 Forecasts
Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

How many seats in the Assembly of the Republic will the Socialist Party win in the next Portuguese parliamentary election?

29 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 96
0%
Between 96 and 105
26%
Between 106 and 115
69%
More than 115
5%

What will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone in October 2022?

75 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.0%
0%
Between 1.0% and 1.9%, inclusive
0%
More than 1.9% but less than 3.0%
4%
Between 3.0% and 3.9%, inclusive
37%
More than 3.9% but less than 5.0%
50%
5.0% or more
9%
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