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The Economist ask

Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?

10%

Chance
274 Forecasters • 305 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Economist ask

Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?

5%

Chance
160 Forecasters • 187 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Economist ask

What percentage of votes will the African National Congress win in South Africa's next election for the National Assembly?

115 Forecasters • 163 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 08, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 50.00%
15%
Between 50.00% and 60.00%, inclusive
61%
More than 60.00%
24%
The Economist ask

Who will win Ukraine's 2019 presidential election?

191 Forecasters • 398 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 21, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Petro Poroshenko
12%
Yulia Tymoshenko
1%
Volodymyr Zelenskiy
86%
None of the above
1%

When will Denmark approve the construction of Nord Stream 2 through its territorial waters or Exclusive Economic Zone?

63 Forecasters • 137 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2019
0%
Between 1 June and 31 August 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 September and 30 November 2019, inclusive
5%
Not before 1 December 2019
95%
The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will the registration deadline for Germany's ownership tax exemption for fully-electric vehicles be extended beyond 2020?

85%

Chance
81 Forecasters • 120 Forecasts
Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Will voter turnout for the 2019 European Parliament elections set a record low?

20%

Chance
243 Forecasters • 427 Forecasts
Started Jan 25, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 23, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

What will be the percentage change in average UK house prices over the 12-month period to September 2019?

578 Forecasters • 668 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than -3.0%
12%
Between -3.0% and -1.0%, inclusive
21%
More than -1.0% but less than 1.0%
27%
Between 1.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
29%
More than 3.0%
11%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

45%

Chance
576 Forecasters • 787 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will any EU member state besides the UK set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

5%

Chance
1808 Forecasters • 2093 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC