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Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation that caps administrative fees and/or operating profits of the country's pension fund managers?

65%

Chance
16 Forecasters • 20 Forecasts
Started Dec 04, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation nationalizing private pension fund assets?

24%

Chance
15 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Dec 04, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Before 1 February 2020, will Ukraine adopt a new law giving or extending Donbas special status for local self-government?

65%

Chance
61 Forecasters • 91 Forecasts
Started Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

When will Lebanon's parliament give a vote of confidence to a new government?

27 Forecasters • 52 Forecasts
Started Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2020
1%
Between 1 January and 29 February 2020
4%
Between 1 March and 30 April 2020
20%
Between 1 May and 30 June 2020
20%
Not before 1 July 2020
55%

Before 1 February 2020, will the United Kingdom leave the European Union?

119 Forecasters • 208 Forecasts
Started Nov 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, with a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force
53%
Yes, without a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force
9%
No, with the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50
4%
No, without the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50
34%
Nesta asks

Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?

331 Forecasters • 682 Forecasts
Started Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, the Conservative Party
58%
Yes, the Labour Party
7%
Yes, a political party not listed above
3%
No political party will gain an overall majority
32%

Will Algeria hold a presidential election on 12 December 2019?

28 Forecasters • 134 Forecasts
Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a candidate who is a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
58%
Yes, and a candidate who is not a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
42%
No
0%

Before 18 April 2020, will former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?

4%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 81 Forecasts
Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Before 15 March 2020, will the parliament of New Zealand pass a bill that would create a national gun register?

71%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started Oct 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC
lekker asks:

Between 4 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, will anti-government protests in Hong Kong result in three or more fatalities?

50%

Chance
137 Forecasters • 484 Forecasts
Started Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC