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Foxes Ask:

Will Israel's Knesset pass a bill to annex and/or apply sovereignty over any West Bank territory before 1 January 2021?

75%

Chance
54 Forecasters • 87 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, who will be elected to be the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party?

48 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Armin Laschet
17%
Friedrich Merz
25%
Norbert Röttgen
8%
Someone else
35%
A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021
15%
The Economist asks:

Before 29 August 2020, will the German Bundesbank be barred from participating in the European Central Bank's (ECB's) PSPP quantitative easing program?

1%

Chance
103 Forecasters • 166 Forecasts
Started Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 29, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Before 1 January 2021, will the Russian constitution be amended to allow Vladimir Putin to remain president after his current term?

100%

Chance
280 Forecasters • 543 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will the Council of the European Union make an Article 7.1 determination against Hungary before 31 December 2020?

5%

Chance
144 Forecasters • 314 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

How many seats will the New Patriotic Party win in Ghana's 2020 parliamentary elections?

52 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
A majority of seats
95%
A plurality of seats, but not a majority
5%
Neither a majority nor a plurality
0%
Parliamentary elections in Ghana will not take place in 2020
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

What will be the 2020 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?

108 Forecasters • 191 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $115 per kWh
0%
Between $115 and $130 per kWh, inclusive
20%
More than $130 but less than $145 per kWh
67%
Between $145 and $160 per kWh, inclusive
13%
More than $160 per kWh
0%

Before 1 January 2021, will Ali Khamenei cease to be the supreme leader of Iran and/or Hassan Rouhani cease to be the president of Iran?

281 Forecasters • 592 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Ali Khamenei will cease to be supreme leader
3%
Yes, only Hassan Rouhani will cease to be president
5%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with neither replacing the other
0%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with at least one replacing the other
0%
No
92%
Foxes Ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 January 2021?

2%

Chance
218 Forecasters • 436 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC