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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the daily reported natural gas in storage in the EU for 31 July 2022?

13 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 650.0 TWh
0%
Between 650.0 TWh and 700.0 TWh, inclusive
0%
More than 700.0 TWh but less than 750.0 TWh
27%
Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive
66%
More than 800.0 TWh
7%

What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?

14 Forecasters • 20 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
4%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
16%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
31%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
31%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
15%
More than 3.50%
3%

What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Japanese yen exchange rate on 16 December 2022?

22 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 100.00
0%
Between 100.00 and 110.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 110.00 but lower than 120.00
8%
Between 120.00 and 130.00, inclusive
42%
Higher than 130.00 but lower than 140.00
33%
Between 140.00 and 150.00, inclusive
17%
Higher than 150.00 but lower than 160.00
0%
160.00 or more
0%

What will voter turnout be in the 2022 presidency elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Bosnia)?

13 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 44.0%
0%
Between 44.0% and 48.0%, inclusive
2%
More than 48.0% but less than 52.0%
32%
Between 52.0% and 56.0%, inclusive
63%
More than 56.0%
3%
Presidency elections will not be held in 2022
0%
David Epstein asks:

Will Finland and/or Sweden become members of NATO before 1 January 2023?

152 Forecasters • 292 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, Finland only
0%
Yes, Sweden only
0%
Yes, both Finland and Sweden
80%
No
20%

Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 20 July 2022?

2%

Chance
43 Forecasters • 89 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?

1%

Chance
55 Forecasters • 175 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Australia and Papua New Guinea (PNG) sign a bilateral defense treaty before 6 May 2023?

58%

Chance
30 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Before 9 July 2022, will the Israeli Knesset vote to dissolve itself?

100%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 184 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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