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The Economist asks

Will the Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N) win an overall majority of seats in the National Assembly in the 2018 general election?

5%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started Jun 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 25, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2019, will South Korean President Moon Jae-in visit Pyongyang?

90%

Chance
76 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started Jun 06, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Will Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador win the 2018 Mexican presidential election?

106 Forecasters • 214 Forecasts
Started May 16, 2018 06:30PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, with 50% or more of the vote
27%
Yes, with less than 50% of the vote
71%
No
1%
The Economist asks

Before 1 October 2018, will Brazil's Workers' Party nominate a candidate for president who is not Luiz Inàcio Lula da Silva?

88%

Chance
99 Forecasters • 158 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Will Serbia and Kosovo reach a comprehensive normalization agreement before 1 January 2020?

28%

Chance
68 Forecasters • 116 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 April 2019, how many countries will formally progress in the NATO accession process?

58 Forecasters • 117 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 02, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
88%
1
11%
2
1%
3
0%
4 or more
0%

What will be the all-time count of pro-Kremlin disinformation cases identified by the European Union External Action Service's East StratCom Task Force as of 18 April 2019?

41 Forecasters • 108 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 18, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4300
0%
Between 4300 and 4900, inclusive
12%
More than 4900 but less than 5500
76%
Between 5500 and 6300, inclusive
12%
More than 6300
0%

What will be Russia's 2019 military expenditure as a percentage of GDP, according to SIPRI?

54 Forecasters • 108 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4.4%
5%
Between 4.4% and 4.9%, inclusive
54%
More than 4.9% but less than 5.5%
37%
Between 5.5% and 6.0%, inclusive
5%
More than 6.0%
0%

Before 1 October 2019, will the OSCE verify that separatist forces have withdrawn all of their heavy weaponry in accordance with the Minsk II Peace Agreement?

2%

Chance
53 Forecasters • 95 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC