Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Voided
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 Long-term Vehicle... (13)
only
China and the World in... (11)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (20)
only
Finance Forecasting Ch... (1)
only
Foxes Ask (25)
only
In the News 2021 (131)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (25)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (22)
only
Think Again with Adam ... (15)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(1)
only
Business (61)
only
Technology (47)
only
Non-US Politics (36)
only
Health (28)
only
Society (25)
only
Finance (22)
only
Security and Conflict (21)
only
US Policy (21)
only
Foreign Policy (19)
only
US Politics (19)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (16)
only
Elections and Referenda (13)
only
Economic Policy (12)
only
Entertainment (10)
only
Environment (10)
only
Sports (8)
only
Economic Indicators (7)
only
Open (1)
only
Show less
Adam Grant
asks:
Which NHL team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final?
52 Forecasters • 65 Forecasts
Started
Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 09, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Carolina Hurricanes
7%
Colorado Avalanche
25%
Tampa Bay Lightning
14%
Toronto Maple Leafs
14%
Vegas Golden Knights
11%
Another team or no team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final
29%
Adam Grant
asks:
In NCAA v. Alston, will the Supreme Court rule that NCAA rules restricting education-related benefits for student-athletes violate federal antitrust law?
60%
Chance
229 Forecasters • 330 Forecasts
Started
Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
and
Adam Grant
ask:
How many federal firearm background checks will be initiated in the US from April 2021 through June 2021?
239 Forecasters • 432 Forecasts
Started
Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 8,000,000
0%
Between 8,000,000 and 10,000,000, inclusive
10%
More than 10,000,000 but fewer than 12,000,000
49%
Between 12,000,000 and 14,000,000, inclusive
38%
More than 14,000,000
3%
Which team will win the 2021 NBA Championship?
63 Forecasters • 197 Forecasts
Started
Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Brooklyn Nets
20%
Los Angeles Clippers
14%
Los Angeles Lakers
20%
Milwaukee Bucks
7%
Another team
39%
There will not be a 2021 NBA Championship
0%
Which country will the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League final winner be from?
130 Forecasters • 513 Forecasts
Started
Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 29, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
England
54%
France
24%
Germany
0%
Italy
0%
Spain
22%
Another country
0%
There will not be a 2020-21 final winner
0%
oddball8
asks:
When will 25,000 or more fans next attend a Premier League match?
214 Forecasters • 742 Forecasts
Started
Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 23, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 19 October 2020
0%
Between 19 October 2020 and 31 December 2020
0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 15 March 2021
0%
Between 16 March 2021 and 23 May 2021
0%
Not before 24 May 2021
100%
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
and
WBHumanoid
ask:
Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?
5%
Chance
203 Forecasters • 719 Forecasts
Started
Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Maarten
and
Adam Grant
ask:
Before 1 May 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics and/or Paralympics will be canceled?
1083 Forecasters • 2614 Forecasts
Started
Jun 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, the Olympics only
0%
Yes, the Paralympics only
0%
Yes, both
5%
No
95%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel