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Before 1 January 2019, will South Korean President Moon Jae-in visit Pyongyang?

90%

Chance
76 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started Jun 06, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Before 1 October 2018, will either Russia or the United States announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty?

5%

Chance
501 Forecasters • 969 Forecasts
Started Jan 10, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Before 1 October 2018, will the U.S. provide notice of intent to withdraw from NAFTA?

10%

Chance
750 Forecasters • 1626 Forecasts
Started Dec 12, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 October 2018, will Kim Jong-un cease to be supreme leader of North Korea?

1%

Chance
614 Forecasters • 1216 Forecasts
Started Nov 07, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

When will a member of China's Politburo Standing Committee visit North Korea?

336 Forecasters • 915 Forecasts
Started Oct 24, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 February 2018
0%
Between 1 February 2018 and 30 April 2018, inclusive
0%
Between 1 May 2018 and 31 July 2018, inclusive
11%
Between 1 August 2018 and 31 October 2018, inclusive
22%
Not before 1 November 2018
67%

Will any disputes over IAEA access to Iranian sites be referred to the Joint Commission before 1 July 2018?

2%

Chance
244 Forecasters • 929 Forecasts
Started Sep 12, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 July 2018, will Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte proclaim martial law nationwide?

2%

Chance
296 Forecasters • 1093 Forecasts
Started Aug 15, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

How many NATO members will spend 2% or more of their GDP on defense in 2018?

370 Forecasters • 1098 Forecasts
Started Mar 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5
1%
5
13%
6 to 8, inclusive
84%
More than 8
1%