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Before 22 August 2019, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?

22%

Chance
88 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started Jun 21, 2019 05:20PM UTC
Closing Aug 21, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Economist ask

Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?

8%

Chance
451 Forecasters • 609 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Economist ask

Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?

5%

Chance
270 Forecasters • 362 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

When will Denmark approve the construction of Nord Stream 2 through its territorial waters or Exclusive Economic Zone?

105 Forecasters • 240 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2019
1%
Between 1 June and 31 August 2019, inclusive
2%
Between 1 September and 30 November 2019, inclusive
12%
Not before 1 December 2019
85%

Which major stock exchange index among the four "Asian Tiger" economies will perform best between 10 January 2019 and 28 June 2019?

208 Forecasters • 630 Forecasts
Started Jan 11, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index
23%
Singapore's Straits Times Index
14%
South Korea's KOSPI
10%
Taiwan's Stock Exchange Weighted Index
53%
 Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will any EU member state besides the UK set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

5%

Chance
2066 Forecasters • 2483 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020?

5%

Chance
2182 Forecasters • 2629 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 July 2019, will Daniel Ortega cease to be president of Nicaragua?

1%

Chance
169 Forecasters • 439 Forecasts
Started Aug 15, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC