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asks:
Before 1 January 2022, will President Biden invite Prime Minister Boris Johnson to visit the White House?
25%
Chance
109 Forecasters • 150 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Before 2 October 2021, will the Taliban submit credentials to the Secretary-General of the UN to represent Afghanistan for the 76th UN General Assembly session?
92 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and their credentials will be recognized
0%
Yes, but their credentials will not be recognized
13%
No
87%
asks:
Will the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26) announce the finalization of the "Paris Rulebook," the rules for implementing the 2015 Paris Agreement, before 16 November 2021?
5%
Chance
69 Forecasters • 89 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 16, 2021 08:01AM UTC
asks:
Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?
8%
Chance
62 Forecasters • 90 Forecasts
Started
Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
erikbays
asks:
Before 13 February 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation in Iran or at sea between the national military or law enforcement forces of Iran and those of either Israel or a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member state?
8%
Chance
57 Forecasters • 79 Forecasts
Started
Aug 13, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 13, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Columbus
asks:
Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?
85%
Chance
67 Forecasters • 168 Forecasts
Started
Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will the Afghan government and the Afghan Taliban sign an agreement that includes provisions for the establishment and/or recognition of a national government?
0%
Chance
74 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started
Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 2 October 2021, will the UN General Assembly recognize delegates from the National Unity Government (NUG) as representing Myanmar for the 76th General Assembly session?
5%
Chance
46 Forecasters • 105 Forecasts
Started
Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?
1%
Chance
85 Forecasters • 110 Forecasts
Started
Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?
2%
Chance
59 Forecasters • 121 Forecasts
Started
Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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