Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Donald Trump be reelected as president of the US in 2024?

Started Apr 13, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Former President Trump has registered to run for reelection in 2024, though he faces several legal obstacles in the near term (NPR, BBC).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 64.19% -2.56% -1.30% +14.37%
No 35.81% +2.56% +1.30% -14.37%

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