When will US total nonfarm payrolls next decrease in a given month as compared to the preceding month?
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The US labor market continued to add jobs in September 2023 despite ongoing fears that rising interest rates will slow hiring (CNBC, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using BLS data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Change, Thousands of Persons"). Subsequent revisions would be immaterial.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Between October 2023 and December 2023 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Between January 2024 and March 2024 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.13% |
| Between April 2024 and June 2024 | 10.00% | 0% | -0.18% | -2.75% |
| Between July 2024 and September 2024 | 14.00% | 0% | +0.24% | -2.13% |
| Not before October 2024 | 76.00% | 0% | -0.06% | +5.00% |