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Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

3%

Chance
152 Forecasters • 205 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will restaurants in New York City (NYC) be permitted to offer indoor dining at 85% capacity or more before 1 July 2021?

25%

Chance
156 Forecasters • 216 Forecasts
Started Mar 26, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2021?

98 Forecasters • 210 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 1.7%
0%
Between 1.7% and 2.1%, inclusive
10%
Higher than 2.1% but lower than 2.7%
34%
Between 2.7% and 3.1%, inclusive
40%
Higher than 3.1%
16%
The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021?

70%

Chance
104 Forecasters • 174 Forecasts
Started Mar 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Ryan-Beck and Kinnaj ask:

Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?

10%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 94 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many cases of COVID-19 will the state of Texas report for the month of April 2021?

102 Forecasters • 352 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 150,000
99%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
1%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
0%
Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive
0%
More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000
0%
550,000 or more
0%
Adam Grant asks:

In NCAA v. Alston, will the Supreme Court rule that NCAA rules restricting education-related benefits for student-athletes violate federal antitrust law?

61%

Chance
229 Forecasters • 341 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist and Adam Grant ask:

How many federal firearm background checks will be initiated in the US from April 2021 through June 2021?

241 Forecasters • 447 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 8,000,000
0%
Between 8,000,000 and 10,000,000, inclusive
9%
More than 10,000,000 but fewer than 12,000,000
48%
Between 12,000,000 and 14,000,000, inclusive
39%
More than 14,000,000
4%
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