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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the FDA and/or CDC recommend that at least some Americans fully vaccinated for COVID-19 receive a COVID-19 vaccine booster shot?

105 Forecasters • 167 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 September 2021
21%
Between 1 September 2021 and 31 October 2021
41%
Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
32%
Not before 1 January 2022
6%

When will the US Congress agree to a new budget resolution?

31 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Before 9 August 2021
1%
Between 9 August 2021 and 30 September 2021
76%
Not before 1 October 2021
23%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

6%

Chance
63 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

5%

Chance
91 Forecasters • 136 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?

6%

Chance
78 Forecasters • 180 Forecasts
Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the US announce a reduction or elimination of total punitive tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber before 1 September 2021?

4%

Chance
61 Forecasters • 128 Forecasts
Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
ericbays asks:

Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?

75%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 262 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance
71 Forecasters • 125 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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