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The Economist asks:

Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 5.00% before 1 October 2022?

24%

Chance
128 Forecasters • 195 Forecasts
Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the closing yield for the US 10-Year Treasury reach or exceed 2.25% before 1 July 2022?

40%

Chance
94 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be Russia's annual rate of inflation in September 2022?

53 Forecasters • 107 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
2%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 7.0%
35%
Between 7.0% and 9.0%, inclusive
45%
Higher than 9.0%
18%

What will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone in October 2022?

75 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.0%
0%
Between 1.0% and 1.9%, inclusive
0%
More than 1.9% but less than 3.0%
4%
Between 3.0% and 3.9%, inclusive
37%
More than 3.9% but less than 5.0%
50%
5.0% or more
9%

What will be the annual percentage change in the average hourly earnings of US private sector employees in October 2022?

78 Forecasters • 157 Forecasts
Started Nov 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
An increase of less than 2.0%
0%
An increase of between 2.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
6%
An increase of more than 3.0% but less than 4.0%
26%
An increase of between 4.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
44%
An increase of more than 5.0% but less than 6.0%
23%
An increase of 6.0% or more
1%

What will be the closing value of the Hang Seng Index on 30 June 2022?

28 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 20,000
8%
Between 20,000 and 23,000, inclusive
27%
More than 23,000 but less than 26,000
38%
Between 26,000 and 29,000, inclusive
21%
More than 29,000 but less than 32,000
5%
32,000 or more
1%

What will be China's year-on-year GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2022?

39 Forecasters • 110 Forecasts
Started Nov 05, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4.0%
6%
Between 4.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
52%
More than 5.0% but less than 6.0%
36%
Between 6.0% and 7.0%, inclusive
6%
More than 7.0%
0%
The Economist and belikewater ask:

What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton (MT) on 29 April 2022?

116 Forecasters • 274 Forecasts
Started Oct 29, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 29, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than $2,000
0%
Between $2,000 and $2,300, inclusive
1%
Higher than $2,300 but lower than $2,600
16%
Between $2,600 and $2,900, inclusive
35%
Higher than $2,900 but lower than $3,200
39%
$3,200 or higher
9%
The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

What will be the US domestic auto inventory as of May 2022?

97 Forecasters • 262 Forecasts
Started Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 100.0 (thousands)
68%
Between 100.0 (thousands) and 300.0 (thousands), inclusive
31%
More than 300.0 (thousands) but fewer than 500.0 (thousands)
1%
Between 500.0 (thousands) and 700.0 (thousands), inclusive
0%
More than 700.0 (thousands)
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the office vacancy rate for the Greater Toronto Area in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Colliers?

26 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 7.0%, inclusive
22%
Higher than 7.0% but lower than 9.0%
71%
Between 9.0% and 11.0%, inclusive
7%
Higher than 11.0%
0%
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