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Tim Harford asks:

What will be the annual change in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for November 2021?

24 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.7%
0%
Between 1.7% and 2.2%, inclusive
1%
More than 2.2% but less than 2.9%
25%
Between 2.9% and 3.4%, inclusive
49%
More than 3.4% but less than 4.1%
22%
4.1% or more
3%

What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?

51 Forecasters • 87 Forecasts
Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 250.00000
2%
Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive
20%
Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000
53%
Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive
24%
Higher than 280.00000
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?

74%

Chance
37 Forecasters • 59 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?

13%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started Jun 25, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the percentage change in the producer price index for writing and printing papers for May 2022 as compared to May 2021?

28 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.0%
12%
Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive
43%
More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%
22%
Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive
14%
More than 5.5%
9%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?

33 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 320,000 kt
0%
Between 320,000 kt and 340,000 kt, inclusive
3%
More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt
22%
360,000 kt or more
75%

What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?

232 Forecasters • 317 Forecasts
Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 0.0%
0%
Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive
14%
More than 2.0% but less than 3.0%
43%
Between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
29%
More than 4.0% but less than 5.0%
13%
5.0% or more
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the global price of wheat in November 2021, according to the IMF?

47 Forecasters • 130 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2021 10:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than $220.00/MT
9%
Between $220.00/MT and $260.00/MT, inclusive
39%
Higher than $260.00/MT but lower than $300.00/MT
36%
Between $300.00/MT and $340.00/MT, inclusive
14%
Higher than $340.00/MT
2%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2022?

41 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2021 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 3,800
0%
Between 3,800 and 4,100, inclusive
8%
More than 4,100 but less than 4,400
23%
Between 4,400 and 4,700, inclusive
43%
More than 4,700 but less than 5,000
20%
5,000 or more
6%

What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2021 relative to the 2020 holiday season?

42 Forecasters • 79 Forecasts
Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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The same or lower for 2021
0%
Higher by more than 0.0% but less than 2.5%
10%
Higher by between 2.5% and 5.0%, inclusive
18%
Higher by more than 5.0% but less than 7.5%
24%
Higher by 7.5% or more
48%
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