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Tim Harford asks:

What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?

25 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 2,500.00
0%
Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive
8%
Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00
38%
Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive
36%
Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00
12%
Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive
6%
Higher than 10,000.00
0%

What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?

40 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 33,000.00
10%
Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive
15%
Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00
25%
Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive
26%
Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00
19%
37,000.00 or more
5%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2022, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?

28 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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1st to 3rd
7%
4th to 6th
65%
7th to 9th
28%
10th or lower
0%

What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?

53 Forecasters • 70 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
11%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
50%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
36%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
3%
4% or higher
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

What will be the United Arab Emirates' ranking in the Global Food Security Index for 2022, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit?

26 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 55th
0%
Between 55th and 41st
6%
Between 40th and 26th
70%
Higher than 25th
24%

How many business applications will be made in the US in 2022?

20 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 4.2 million
0%
Between 4.2 million and 4.8 million, inclusive
15%
More than 4.8 million but fewer than 5.4 million
55%
Between 5.4 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
25%
More than 6.0 million
5%

What will be the US office vacancy rate for the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Colliers?

30 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 12.5%
4%
Between 12.5% and 14.0%, inclusive
62%
Higher than 14.0% but lower than 15.5%
32%
Between 15.5% and 17.0%, inclusive
2%
Higher than 17.0%
0%
Tim Harford asks:

How many job openings in the trade, transportation, and utilities industries will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for November 2021?

41 Forecasters • 112 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1.4 million
0%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
2%
More than 1.6 million but fewer than 1.8 million
8%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
27%
More than 2.0 million but fewer than 2.2 million
30%
2.2 million or more
33%
Tim Harford asks:

How many twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of cargo will the Port of Los Angeles report for November 2021?

51 Forecasters • 167 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 800,000
0%
Between 800,000 and 900,000, inclusive
11%
More than 900,000 but fewer than 1,000,000
41%
1,000,000 or more
48%

How many business applications will be made in the US in 2021?

29 Forecasters • 83 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 4.8 million
0%
Between 4.8 million and 5.2 million, inclusive
1%
More than 5.2 million but fewer than 5.6 million
84%
Between 5.6 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
15%
More than 6.0 million
0%
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