The Economist asks:
When will Mahmoud Abbas cease to be president of the Palestinian Authority?
Started
Nov 14, 2023 03:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 14, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closed Sep 14, 2024 07:01AM UTC
As Israel's fight with Hamas continues, observers are speculating about the future role of the Palestinian Authority in the region (Economist, France 24, New Arab).
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The question closed "Not before 14 September 2024" with a closing date of 14 September 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 14 April 2024 | 1% | |
| Between 14 April 2024 and 13 September 2024 | 7% | |
| Not before 14 September 2024 | 92% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 438 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 195 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1129 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 559 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
