The Economist asks:

When will Mahmoud Abbas cease to be president of the Palestinian Authority?

Started Nov 14, 2023 03:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 14, 2024 07:01AM UTC

As Israel's fight with Hamas continues, observers are speculating about the future role of the Palestinian Authority in the region (Economist, France 24, New Arab).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 14 April 2024 6.98% -0.19% -1.25% -3.60%
Between 14 April 2024 and 13 September 2024 22.47% +0.04% -0.49% -2.42%
Not before 14 September 2024 70.55% +0.15% +1.74% +6.02%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username