Eolienne and LewisWalsh ask:

What will be the year-over-year percentage change in UK house prices for July 2024, according to Halifax?

Started Sep 08, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

House prices in the UK have begun to fall as interest rates rise to 15-year highs (Yahoo Finance UK, Guardian, Bloomberg, Trading Economics - UK Mortgage Rates). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2024 and the outcome determined using Halifax House Price Index data as first reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Down by more than 9.0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Down by between 6.0% and 9.0%, inclusive 0% 0% 0% 0%
Down by more than 3.0% but less than 6.0% 0% -0.43% 0% 0%
Down by between 0.0% and 3.0%, inclusive 6.00% -1.07% 0% -5.00%
Up by more than 0.0% but less than 3.0% 74.00% +2.64% +5.00% +13.00%
Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive 20.00% -0.64% -4.00% -7.00%
Up by more than 6.0% 0% -0.50% -1.00% -1.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username