Will Eric Adams cease to be mayor of New York City before 27 July 2024?

Started Nov 24, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 27, 2024 07:01AM UTC

New York City Mayor Eric Adams has been subject to a corruption investigation related to campaign financing (CNN, NY Post, Politico).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 27 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 3%
No 97%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 221
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.044705
2.
-0.041432
3.
-0.0407
4.
-0.039921
5.
-0.03895

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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