The Economist asks:

What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Deadpool 3, according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Jan 05, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 27, 2024 07:01AM UTC

As Hollywood gets back to normal after the writers and actors strikes in 2023, the film industry is bracing for a down year, while there's some hope for success with some titles (Economist, Deadline). The question will be suspended on 26 July 2024 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 26-28 July 2024 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released on 26 July 2024 (Digital Spy). If the release date is changed, the suspend date will be changed accordingly unless it is postponed beyond 30 September 2024.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than $60 million 3.00% 0% 0% 0%
Between $60 million and $100 million, inclusive 15.00% 0% +1.00% -2.00%
More than $100 million but less than $140 million 38.00% 0% +1.00% 0%
Between $140 million and $180 million, inclusive 26.00% 0% 0% +1.00%
More than $180 million but less than $220 million 11.00% 0% -1.00% +2.00%
$220 million or more 6.00% 0% 0% 0%
Deadpool 3 will not be released before 1 October 2024 1.00% 0% -1.00% -1.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username