kyubi asks:
What will be the percentage change in global semiconductor sales in 2026 versus 2025, according to the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA)?
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
The AI boom has pushed semiconductor (aka "chips") sales to new records (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, Yahoo [Guru Focus]). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2026 and the outcome determined using data as reported by SIA for all of 2026 once data for December 2026 are first available, expected in early February 2027 (SIA - News). The change will be calculated by dividing the total value of sales in 2026 by the total value of sales in 2025 and subtracting one. When 2024 data was first released in February 2025, the SIA reported sales of $627.6 billion in 2024 versus $526.8 billion in 2023, which is an increase of 19.1% (SIA - 7 February 2025). [Note that 2024 data was subsequently updated to $630.5 billion.]
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than -7.0% | 0% | -11.11% |
| At least -7.0%, but lower than 0.0% | 0% | -11.11% |
| At least 0.0%, but lower than 7.0% | 0% | -11.11% |
| At least 7.0%, but lower than 14.0% | 5.00% | -6.11% |
| At least 14.0%, but lower than 21.0% | 25.00% | +13.89% |
| At least 21.0%, but lower than 28.0% | 40.00% | +28.89% |
| At least 28.0%, but lower than 35.0% | 25.00% | +13.89% |
| At least 35.0%, but lower than 42.0% | 5.00% | -6.11% |
| 42.0% or higher | 0% | -11.11% |