The Monkey Cage asks

Who will be elected governor of Georgia in the 2018 election?

Started Sep 21, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

The Georgia gubernatorial election will take place on 6 November 2018. Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams is running against Republican nominee Brian Kemp (Real Clear Politics). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. Republican Brian Kemp has been elected Governor of Georgia. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Stacey Abrams (D) 45%
Brian Kemp (R) 55%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 122
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 224
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.378
2.
-0.377
3.
-0.359
4.
-0.357
5.
-0.327

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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