Started Sep 21, 2018 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jun 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC

In Madison v. Alabama, will the Supreme Court rule that the State of Alabama may not execute Vernon Madison?

In 1985, Vernon Madison was first convicted of capital murder in state court (Newsweek). A series of strokes has since left him without any memory of the crime, and his counsel is arguing that executing a person for a crime they cannot remember violates the Eighth Amendment's prohibition against cruel and unusual punishment (SCOTUSBlog, Oyez). If the Supreme Court decides to vacate and remand the case for further proceedings, the question will resolve as yes. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.

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Name Probability
Yes 25%

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