In Madison v. Alabama, will the Supreme Court rule that the State of Alabama may not execute Vernon Madison?
Started
Sep 21, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2019 06:00PM UTC
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In 1985, Vernon Madison was first convicted of capital murder in state court (Newsweek). A series of strokes has since left him without any memory of the crime, and his counsel is arguing that executing a person for a crime they cannot remember violates the Eighth Amendment's prohibition against cruel and unusual punishment (SCOTUSBlog, Oyez). If the Supreme Court decides to vacate and remand the case for further proceedings, the question will resolve as yes. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.
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This question closes as yes on 27 February 2019. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/18pdf/17-7505_2d9g.pdf
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 31.50% | |
No | 68.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 129 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 213 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |