In Weyerhaeuser Company v. US Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS), will the Supreme Court rule that the FWS erroneously applied the Endangered Species Act (ESA) to any private land in St. Tammany Parish, Louisiana?

Started Sep 21, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 27, 2018 06:00PM UTC

In 2012, the FWS published a final rule designating 1,544 acres of private land in Louisiana as "critical habitat" for the endangered dusky gopher frog (SCOTUSBlog). The dusky gopher frog is not found on that land, and Weyerhaeuser Company is asking the Supreme Court to rule on whether the FWS has the authority to designate that private land as "critical habitat" when that land is neither a "habitat" nor "critical" to the species in question (SCOTUSBlog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.


This question closed as "No" with an end date of 27 November 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 90.00%
No 10.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 58
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 98
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.477854
2.
-1.286024
3.
-1.26289
4.
-1.101116
5.
-0.821322

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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