Who will win Brazil’s presidential election runoff?

Started Oct 12, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 28, 2018 06:59AM UTC

After neither candidate won an absolute majority in the first round (Jair Bolsonaro won 46% and Fernando Haddad won 29%), a runoff election has been scheduled for 28 October 2018 (BBC, Globo Comunicação, NBC). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated. This question resolved on "Jair Bolsonaro" with an end date of 28 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Jair Bolsonaro 100%
Fernando Haddad 0%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 67
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 98
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
3.
-0.0
4.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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