The Monkey Cage asks

Which current candidate for the U.S. Senate will the Center for Responsive Politics list as having raised the most money this election cycle?

Started Oct 19, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

This question will be suspended on 5 November and resolved using data retrieved on 1 December 2018 from Opensecrets.org, and by selecting "Current Candidates Only" and "Current Cycle Only." Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This closed as "Beto O'Rourke" with an end date of 5 November 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Beto O'Rourke (D-TX) 73%
Rick Scott (R-FL) 27%
Claire McCaskill (D-MO) 0%
Bob Hugin 0%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 41
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 79
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0132
2.
-0.011247
3.
-0.011059
4.
-0.009529
5.
-0.009035

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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