The Monkey Cage asks

Which current candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives will the Center for Responsive Politics list as having raised the most money this election cycle?

Started Oct 19, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

This question will be suspended on 5 November and resolved using data retrieved on 1 December 2018 from Opensecrets.org, and by selecting "Current Candidates Only" (e.g., Jon Ossoff is not a current candidate) and "Current Cycle Only." Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "David Trone (D-MD)" with an end date of 5 November. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
David Trone (D-MD) 99%
Devin Nunes (R-CA) 1%
Gil Cisneros (D-CA) 0%
Scott Wallace (D-PA) 0%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.005
4.
-0.004
5.
-0.004

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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